SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
421 AM EST WED MAR 16 2005
...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA TODAY AND TONIGHT...
...SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
TODAY AND TONIGHT...
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-162100-
CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-
LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER-
421 AM EST WED MAR 16 2005
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS DEVELOPED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO. THIS LOW WILL STRENGTHEN SLOWLY AS IT MOVES ACROSS NORTH
FLORIDA TONIGHT. A TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL SAG SOUTH
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA LATER TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. A STRONG
COLD FRONT WILL THEN SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT.
AS THE LOW DEVELOPS AND MOVES TOWARDS WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY. AT THE
PRESENT TIME IT LOOKS AS THOUGH THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL OCCUR FROM
MID DAY TODAY ACROSS THE NATURE COAST THROUGH EARLY ON THURSDAY
AREAWIDE. CURRENT GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS ON
THE ORDER OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS UP TO 3 TO 5 INCHES
IN SOME LOCATIONS WHERE THE TRAINING OF CELLS OCCUR. THIS HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL CAUSE AREA RIVERS TO BE ON THE RISE...AS WELL AS
LOCALIZED FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG RIVERS AND FASTER FLOWING STREAMS SHOULD BE
ALERT TO RAPID RISES IN WATER LEVELS TODAY AND TONIGHT AND BE READY
TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING BE OBSERVED.
IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL...THERE WILL ALSO BE THE RISK OF
SOME STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA...WITH BEST CHANCES FROM THE NATURE COAST NORTHWARD. AT THE
CURRENT TIME THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES...HEAVY
RAINFALL...AND SHORT LIVED TORNADOES OR MARINE WATERSPOUTS. RESIDENTS
OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR ONGOING WEATHER
CONDITIONS TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES
YOUR LOCATION MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY.
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY WITH SPEEDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH EXPECTED THIS MORNING...THEN 20 TO
25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL CAUSE SEAS
TO BUILD INTO THE 6 TO 8 FOOT RANGE OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS
WITH BAY AND INLAND WATERWAYS BECOMING CHOPPY TO ROUGH...MAKING FOR
ROUGH BOATING CONDITIONS. MARINERS MAY WANT TO POSTPONE ANY TRIPS
INTO THE GULF AS SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP. WITH
THE EXPECTED INCREASE IN WINDS...RESIDENTS MAY WANT TO SECURE LOOSE
OBJECTS THIS EVENING...SUCH AS TRASH CANS AND LAWN FURNITURE...BEFORE
THE STORMS ARRIVE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL
MEDIA OUTLETS FOR UPDATES AND OR LATER WARNINGS.
&&
FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION, CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW
$$
SHARP
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
600 AM EST WED MAR 16 2005
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-171100-
ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-
CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-
COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)-
GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE-
600 AM EST WED MAR 16 2005
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL POSSIBLE...
...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TODAY...
...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES...
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE INTO
NORTH FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON AND OFFSHORE THE COAST THIS EVENING.
THIS WILL LIFT THE WARM FRONT TO THE NORTH TODAY AND MOVE THE COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE REGION BY EARLY THIS EVENING. AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RAPIDLY SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND
PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING. AS LOW PRESSURE AND THE
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT APPROACHES THIS AFTERNOON...SOME OF THE STORMS
MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THE
MAIN CONCERNS. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE
FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS...WITH THE HEAVIEST TOTALS
ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. THESE HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY GENERATE
LOCALIZED FLOODING ESPECIALLY AT SOME LOW LYING OR POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS.
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE AREA BEACHES TODAY.
REFER TO THE LATEST SURF ZONE FORECAST.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED TODAY. IN ADDITION...
REPORTS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING ARE REQUESTED.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT
http://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX.
$$
PP
[/img]
Not severe, though. 
, but I will take it for mid March! 