What's With All This Rain??

riverratmike · #1 Postby **riverratmike** » Sat Feb 19, 2005 3:44 am

I'm no weather expert but love stormy weather. I live in Lake Havasu City, AZ. It has been pouring the last hour or so. Very hard. I have recorded 0.25 inches in 45 minutes. Just curious what is causing all this rain 2005? Rain is in the forcast till Thursday next week! Amazing

Brett Adair · #2 Postby **Brett Adair** » Sat Feb 19, 2005 11:21 am

riverratmike wrote:I'm no weather expert but love stormy weather. I live in Lake Havasu City, AZ. It has been pouring the last hour or so. Very hard. I have recorded 0.25 inches in 45 minutes. Just curious what is causing all this rain 2005? Rain is in the forcast till Thursday next week! Amazing

Well, you better get used to this type of senario. With this split flow, upper level lows get caught in the southwest with no real "kicker" so to speak. It seems as if this pineapple express will sit over you and dump heavy rainfall through at least Wednesday if the European and GFS have there way....

They are in pretty good agreement and have been for the last several days so I would say 3-5" storm totals wouldn't be uncommon for your area.

riverratmike · #3 Postby **riverratmike** » Mon Feb 21, 2005 2:47 am

Well more rain in on the way. So far this year in LHC, AZ I have recored 6.56 inches. Amazing. Anyone know what's causing all these storm patterens?

TexasStooge · #4 Postby **TexasStooge** » Mon Feb 21, 2005 8:27 am

Send some of that rain over here.

#5 Postby **Aslkahuna** » Mon Feb 21, 2005 2:29 pm

A split flow pattern with a northern branch flow ridge off the Pac NW and an undercutting active southern branch with ULLs tracking in the flow is a classic ENSO warm phase flow pattern for this time of year.

Steve

Scorpion · #6 Postby **Scorpion** » Mon Feb 21, 2005 5:16 pm

Hopefully this helps ease the drought

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#7 Postby **Aslkahuna** » Mon Feb 21, 2005 7:37 pm

It will provide short term relief and will reduce the drought levels but in order to end the Drought would require several more years of this. Important to note the Dendrochronologists note the tree ring studies show that wet years within a drought period are not uncommon-they just don't repeat and make little difference in the overall pattern. During the big drought of the 1950's NoCA had three wet years in the decade-`951-52, 1955-56 and 1957-58.

Steve

canegrl04 · #8 Postby **canegrl04** » Tue Feb 22, 2005 2:04 pm

Does anybody have any long range models ,like for the month ahead? I'm curious as to how long this split flow pattern will continue.As long as it does so,California is in big trouble.I just don't know how much more they can take . Also,we've got the tornado season coming up in Texas

#9 Postby **Aslkahuna** » Tue Feb 22, 2005 4:09 pm

Go to http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov and check out the outlooks.

Steve

canegrl04 · #10 Postby **canegrl04** » Tue Feb 22, 2005 5:19 pm

Thanks!

What's With All This Rain??

What's With All This Rain??

Re: What's With All This Rain??

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