I'm completely confused.

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
scostorms
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 225
Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2005 8:56 pm
Location: Topeka, Kansas
Contact:

I'm completely confused.

#1 Postby scostorms » Thu Sep 15, 2005 12:05 pm

How come this year, tornado numbers in the USA are so low? This boggles my mind, how can something just prevent them from happening when they should? It is also really wierd how Canada has had above average tornado confirmations. I believe it is about 75 now. I got around to counting all the tornado reports of this year for a few tornado alley states...

2005 Tornado reports in Oklahoma
Total: 18

June 16: 1
June 9: 3
June 5: 2
June 4: 1
May 24: 1
April 21: 1
April 10: 1
April 5: 1
March 21: 7

-----

2005 Kansas tornado reports:
Total: 125

September 13: 3
September 5: 1
August 19: 7
August 17: 1
July 3: 5
June 30: 5
June 29: 1
June 16: 1
June 15: 2
June 9: 28
June 8: 1
June 4: 9
June 3: 7
May 30: 1
May 28: 1
May 11: 7
May 10: 1
April 21: 15
April 10: 18
April 5: 9
March 21: 2

------

Nebraska tornado reports
Total: 66

September 12: 1
July 5: 1
June 17: 16
June 15: 1
June 6: 5
June 4: 2
May 17: 1
May 12: 1
May 11: 7
May 10: 14
May 7: 12
April 21: 1
April 18: 3
March 30: 1

---------

South Dakota Tornado Reports
Total: 17

July 7: 1
June 26: 3
June 25: 1
June 13: 2
June 7: 8
June 4: 1
May 8: 1

-----

So wierd. Anyone have an answer?
0 likes   

User avatar
Aslkahuna
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4550
Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 5:00 pm
Location: Tucson, AZ
Contact:

#2 Postby Aslkahuna » Thu Sep 15, 2005 4:57 pm

There is a tendency for tornado frequency in the Alley to be down in Springs following a Niño winter.

Steve
0 likes   

PurdueWx80
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 2720
Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2004 8:33 pm
Location: Madison, WI
Contact:

#3 Postby PurdueWx80 » Thu Sep 15, 2005 5:23 pm

Wisconsin's total is up to 60 for the year, following two additional tornadoes the other day. This blows away the old yearly total, and conditions look ripe for severe weather again next week. Not a quiet year in the upper Midwest!
0 likes   

donsutherland1
S2K Analyst
S2K Analyst
Posts: 2718
Joined: Mon Sep 15, 2003 8:49 pm
Location: New York

Re: I'm completely confused.

#4 Postby donsutherland1 » Fri Sep 16, 2005 12:25 pm

Scostorms,

The May-July synoptic setups were starkly different between 2004 and 2005. In 2004, there was a predominant strong trough in central Canada and dual ridges--one over Alaska and another over the Southeast. Clashes between sharply contrasting air masses were favored in such a setup.

May-July 2004 500 mb Height Anomalies:
Image

In the comparable period this year, there was only a weak predominant trough across northern Canada and a ridge that predominated in eastern Canada. This setup was much less favorable for the kind of clashes in air masses that typically spark tornadic activity.

May-July 2005 500 mb Height Anomalies:
Image

The fact that spring-summer 2005 preceded a weak El Niño might well have led to the evolution of a pattern that favored reduced tornadic activity.
0 likes   


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot], Google Adsense [Bot] and 17 guests