0z GFS...

[Tyler]

On the 0z operational GFS, at around 120 hours it shows some much needed rain developing and giving Dallas and Oklahoma City some MUCH needed relief. Houston could be in for some rain as well. Hopefully this comes to pass, as anything will be taken to help the drought relief... The wildfires going on right now are just crazy!

120 hour:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_120l.gif

126:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_126l.gif

132:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_132l.gif

138:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_138l.gif


Lets all hope this isn't just a GFS fantasy!

[pawxguy]

May a 10000 mi. square saturated sponge smack your area with an inch or two of what you need!

[Extremeweatherguy]

well it is within a week, heck 120 hrs. is just 5 days out, so I would doubt that a big error would occur. I think that this general idea will be right for early next week with some cooler temps. and lots of clouds/rain...nothing too cold or too rainy, but just enough.

[jasons2k]

Please be right We need that rain so badly.

[Tyler]

well it is within a week, heck 120 hrs. is just 5 days out, so I would doubt that a big error would occur. I think that this general idea will be right for early next week with some cooler temps. and lots of clouds/rain...nothing too cold or too rainy, but just enough.

Definitely cloudy and cool, GFS MOS temp guidance have us barely reaching 60 starting sunday, and lasting into the first part of next week. If that come to pass, it will be nice for a change!

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/Guidance/G ... KIAH.1.txt

[Extremeweatherguy]

yeah the latest mos guidance seems to show highs in the lower to middle 50s for a good part of early next week with overcast skies, a light breeze and RAIN CHANCES!!!

[Extremeweatherguy]

The European is showing some mighty cold air building into alaska over the next week...in fact, the air their on day 7 may be some of the coldest in the world at the time! In about 2 weeks this air may get sent southward and we will be in for a shock across the plains and the east as we see our probable coldest temps. all winter!

[Tyler]

The Euro is impressive, showing a classic -NAO and Greenland block developing in the long range. The GFS also supports this. Lets hope this really does happen. We would be in for some cold shots for sure!

[wx247]

The Euro is impressive, showing a classic -NAO and Greenland block developing in the long range. The GFS also supports this. Lets hope this really does happen. We would be in for some cold shots for sure!

You mean we would actually have winter?

Seriously though... the region does need rain. These continual Red Flag Warnings and Fire Weather Watches are wearing down firefighters.

[mike815]

yeah it would be nice but the pattern setting up now that im in is upper 70's and no rain well into the future no fronts forcasted really really boring weather and above normal temp.

[tornadochaser1986]

i have a quick question what does 0z mean i looked at the zulu time conversion chart and it doesnt have 0z?

[Brett Adair]

0 zulu is 6pm CDT in standard time. Also, this system looks to me as if it could be somewhat similar to the system TX and OK dealt with 1/27-1/28. I notice the -AO/NAO combination still hanging on the GFS Ensembles, but I am going to have to see some of this tanking southward. Looks to me like a major cool down should be on tap in a little over a week or so. The NAM physics has changed over the last year and it has underdone precipitation and dewpoints, so this system diving in around Tuesday could also give you guys some rain out there.