Pretty amazing given the lack of instability...
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 11&loop=no
Better View:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/radar.php ... 11&loop=no
April 1 Severe Wx: Hook-echo at 10AM? Precessor?
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
-
WaitingForSiren
- Category 1
- Posts: 383
- Joined: Sun Jan 08, 2006 12:58 pm
- Location: Minneapolis,Minnesota
- Contact:
Maybe not, but severe none the less.
OKC105-147-011730-
/O.NEW.KTSA.SV.W.0135.060401T1628Z-060401T1730Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1028 AM CST SAT APR 1 2006
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NOWATA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
* UNTIL 1130 AM CST
* AT 1026 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL
AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF BARTLESVILLE TO 10 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF BARTLESVILLE...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.
* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
BARTLESVILLE...WATOVA...DEWEY...NOWATA...COPAN...DELAWARE...WANN
AND LENAPAH.
STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.
LAT...LON 3674 9545 3661 9565 3661 9582 3651 9582
3673 9601 3687 9601 3699 9599 3699 9542
3699 9542
OKC105-147-011730-
/O.NEW.KTSA.SV.W.0135.060401T1628Z-060401T1730Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1028 AM CST SAT APR 1 2006
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NOWATA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
* UNTIL 1130 AM CST
* AT 1026 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL
AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF BARTLESVILLE TO 10 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF BARTLESVILLE...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.
* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
BARTLESVILLE...WATOVA...DEWEY...NOWATA...COPAN...DELAWARE...WANN
AND LENAPAH.
STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.
LAT...LON 3674 9545 3661 9565 3661 9582 3651 9582
3673 9601 3687 9601 3699 9599 3699 9542
3699 9542
0 likes
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1044 AM CST SAT APR 01 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1035 AM HAIL BARTLESVILLE 36.75N 95.98W
04/01/2006 E0.88 INCH WASHINGTON OK AMATEUR RADIO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1044 AM CST SAT APR 01 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1035 AM HAIL BARTLESVILLE 36.75N 95.98W
04/01/2006 E0.88 INCH WASHINGTON OK AMATEUR RADIO
0 likes
-
wx247
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 14279
- Age: 41
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
- Location: Monett, Missouri
- Contact:
This is an area of instability along the warm front. These storms will likely continue to develop and move northeast with only a marginal severe hail threat from them. The real action comes later this afternoon across the panhandles of Texas and Oklahoma into SW Kansas.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Likely to see Tornado Watch 121 (PDS?) for Western Oklahoma, Western Kansas and the Texas Panhandle soon.
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0390
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1212 PM CST SAT APR 01 2006
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SE CO/WRN KS SOUTHWARD THRU FAR WRN OK AND
MUCH OF THE TX PNHDL
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
VALID 011812Z - 011945Z
SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE BY 03/21Z...WITH INCREASING
TORNADIC POTENTIAL BY 02/00Z. A TORNADO WATCH MAY BECOME NECESSARY
BY 20Z.
UNCERTAINTIES CONCERNING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ARE STILL
CONSIDERABLE. BUT...IT SEEMS MOST PROBABLE THAT FORCING ASSOCIATED
WITH SHEARING IMPULSE COULD SUPPORT CONVECTIVE INITIATION IN BROKEN
LINE ACROSS THE TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE REGION...AS IT LIFTS OUT OF
BROADER SCALE WESTERN TROUGH INTO CENTRAL U.S.. RIDGE. DRY LINE IS
EXPECTED TO SHARPEN NEAR THE ELKHART/AMARILLO/LUBBOCK AREAS BY PEAK
HEATING...PROVIDING FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...WHICH SHOULD
QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE IN STRONGLY SHEARED...CONVECTIVELY UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT.
MIXED LAYER CAPE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN EXCESS OF 2000 J/KG
ALONG/EAST OF DRY LINE...CONTRIBUTING TO INTENSE UPDRAFTS. ALTHOUGH
A LINE OF CONVECTION COULD EVOLVE SHORTLY AFTER
INITIATION...SUPERCELLS ALSO APPEAR LIKELY WITHIN AND AHEAD OF LINE.
CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE DODGE CITY...GAGE
AND CHILDRESS/ALTUS AREAS BETWEEN 21-00Z... ENCOUNTERING INCREASING
MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER. AS THIS OCCURS...AND MID/UPPER JET STREAK
BEGINS TO NOSE OUT OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES...ACCOMPANIED BY
DEEPENING SURFACE LOW ACROSS EAST CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST
COLORADO...HODOGRAPHS/THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES BY EARLY EVENING. ISOLATED
LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH ATTENDANT RISK FOR VERY
LARGE HAIL AND POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES.
..KERR.. 04/01/2006
ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...GLD...LUB...AMA...PUB...
35880221 36740221 38070159 38750044 38349942 37459977
36139957 34969937 34269984 33390101 33000228 33580244
34250235 35000200
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0390
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1212 PM CST SAT APR 01 2006
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SE CO/WRN KS SOUTHWARD THRU FAR WRN OK AND
MUCH OF THE TX PNHDL
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
VALID 011812Z - 011945Z
SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE BY 03/21Z...WITH INCREASING
TORNADIC POTENTIAL BY 02/00Z. A TORNADO WATCH MAY BECOME NECESSARY
BY 20Z.
UNCERTAINTIES CONCERNING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ARE STILL
CONSIDERABLE. BUT...IT SEEMS MOST PROBABLE THAT FORCING ASSOCIATED
WITH SHEARING IMPULSE COULD SUPPORT CONVECTIVE INITIATION IN BROKEN
LINE ACROSS THE TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE REGION...AS IT LIFTS OUT OF
BROADER SCALE WESTERN TROUGH INTO CENTRAL U.S.. RIDGE. DRY LINE IS
EXPECTED TO SHARPEN NEAR THE ELKHART/AMARILLO/LUBBOCK AREAS BY PEAK
HEATING...PROVIDING FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...WHICH SHOULD
QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE IN STRONGLY SHEARED...CONVECTIVELY UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT.
MIXED LAYER CAPE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN EXCESS OF 2000 J/KG
ALONG/EAST OF DRY LINE...CONTRIBUTING TO INTENSE UPDRAFTS. ALTHOUGH
A LINE OF CONVECTION COULD EVOLVE SHORTLY AFTER
INITIATION...SUPERCELLS ALSO APPEAR LIKELY WITHIN AND AHEAD OF LINE.
CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE DODGE CITY...GAGE
AND CHILDRESS/ALTUS AREAS BETWEEN 21-00Z... ENCOUNTERING INCREASING
MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER. AS THIS OCCURS...AND MID/UPPER JET STREAK
BEGINS TO NOSE OUT OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES...ACCOMPANIED BY
DEEPENING SURFACE LOW ACROSS EAST CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST
COLORADO...HODOGRAPHS/THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES BY EARLY EVENING. ISOLATED
LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH ATTENDANT RISK FOR VERY
LARGE HAIL AND POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES.
..KERR.. 04/01/2006
ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...GLD...LUB...AMA...PUB...
35880221 36740221 38070159 38750044 38349942 37459977
36139957 34969937 34269984 33390101 33000228 33580244
34250235 35000200
0 likes
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
NOT AN OFFICIAL FORECAST - just my prediction.
Forecast amended - westward extension of threat + increased East Coast threat
With the supercells developing earlier than expected, the map has to have a special amendment as the threat area shifts west into Western Oklahoma and the Texas Panhandle as well. There is not quite enough confidence (yet) to go to Level 5, but that could change. In addition, an increased threat - especially for winds and hail but also isolated tornadoes - along the East Coast from the Delmarva to the Outer Banks has increased the threat to Level 2 there.
Further amendments may be necessary later. The Day 2 forecast is unchanged.
Forecast amended - westward extension of threat + increased East Coast threat
With the supercells developing earlier than expected, the map has to have a special amendment as the threat area shifts west into Western Oklahoma and the Texas Panhandle as well. There is not quite enough confidence (yet) to go to Level 5, but that could change. In addition, an increased threat - especially for winds and hail but also isolated tornadoes - along the East Coast from the Delmarva to the Outer Banks has increased the threat to Level 2 there.
Further amendments may be necessary later. The Day 2 forecast is unchanged.
0 likes
-
wxmann_91
- Category 5
- Posts: 8013
- Age: 34
- Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
- Location: Southern California
- Contact:
There are concerns for initiation today, the way I see it...
1. Winds are veering ahead of the dry line
2. Cirrus is approaching
3. The CU along the dry line don't seem agitated
4. 700 mb temps are all progged to be ~8 degrees C at 0Z in central OK, just when the best dynamics arrive (bad bad timing).
So, I'd pick a target around Gage, OK. IMO southwest OK will not see much action today, non-tornadic sups at best, before they die around sunset. To the north, the instability will rapidly drop off, but I am considering to (virtually) move a bit north if needed since the flow will remain more backed to the north.
EDIT: I was wrong. Apparently the instability sticks around at 3Z and the CIN begins to erode at that time. Anyhow good luck to chasers as it may be more of a nocturnal tornado event.
1. Winds are veering ahead of the dry line
2. Cirrus is approaching
3. The CU along the dry line don't seem agitated
4. 700 mb temps are all progged to be ~8 degrees C at 0Z in central OK, just when the best dynamics arrive (bad bad timing).
So, I'd pick a target around Gage, OK. IMO southwest OK will not see much action today, non-tornadic sups at best, before they die around sunset. To the north, the instability will rapidly drop off, but I am considering to (virtually) move a bit north if needed since the flow will remain more backed to the north.
EDIT: I was wrong. Apparently the instability sticks around at 3Z and the CIN begins to erode at that time. Anyhow good luck to chasers as it may be more of a nocturnal tornado event.
0 likes
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
JUST IN: Tornado Watch 121 (no PDS)
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 121
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
155 PM CST SAT APR 1 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST KANSAS
WESTERN OKLAHOMA
NORTHWEST TEXAS AND THE EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 155 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE MILES
EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH OF DODGE CITY KANSAS
TO 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF CHILDRESS TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...DRYLINE WILL BECOME BETTER DEFINED THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON INVOF THE CENTRAL TX PANHANDLE AS A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH EJECTS ENEWD FROM CENTRAL/ERN NM. REGIONAL 18/19Z SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST THAT THE CAP IS QUITE WEAK WITHIN THE MOIST AXIS NEAR/E OF
THE DEVELOPING DRYLINE. THUNDERSTORM INITIATION APPEARS LIKELY BY
21-22Z ACROSS THE CENTRAL/N CENTRAL TX PANHANDLE...WITH STORMS
EXPECTED TO SPREAD EWD/NEWD THROUGH THE EVENING. THE INITIAL SEVERE
THREAT WILL BE PRIMARILY VERY LARGE HAIL. LATER THIS
EVENING...LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND MOISTURE WILL INCREASE NEAR THE TX/OK
BORDER...SUPPORTING AN INCREASING THREAT FOR TORNADOES AFTER 00Z.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23025.
...THOMPSON
Looking at the atmosphere conditions and the risk levels, this should be upgraded to a PDS.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 121
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
155 PM CST SAT APR 1 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST KANSAS
WESTERN OKLAHOMA
NORTHWEST TEXAS AND THE EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 155 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE MILES
EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH OF DODGE CITY KANSAS
TO 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF CHILDRESS TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...DRYLINE WILL BECOME BETTER DEFINED THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON INVOF THE CENTRAL TX PANHANDLE AS A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH EJECTS ENEWD FROM CENTRAL/ERN NM. REGIONAL 18/19Z SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST THAT THE CAP IS QUITE WEAK WITHIN THE MOIST AXIS NEAR/E OF
THE DEVELOPING DRYLINE. THUNDERSTORM INITIATION APPEARS LIKELY BY
21-22Z ACROSS THE CENTRAL/N CENTRAL TX PANHANDLE...WITH STORMS
EXPECTED TO SPREAD EWD/NEWD THROUGH THE EVENING. THE INITIAL SEVERE
THREAT WILL BE PRIMARILY VERY LARGE HAIL. LATER THIS
EVENING...LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND MOISTURE WILL INCREASE NEAR THE TX/OK
BORDER...SUPPORTING AN INCREASING THREAT FOR TORNADOES AFTER 00Z.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23025.
...THOMPSON
Looking at the atmosphere conditions and the risk levels, this should be upgraded to a PDS.
0 likes
-
wx247
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 14279
- Age: 41
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
- Location: Monett, Missouri
- Contact:
Things have had a hard time getting going. The JSquared Chase Team is in the field so I hope they have a successful journey!
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 122 issued - Southern Arkansas and neighboring parts of Texas and Oklahoma
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 122
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
305 PM CST SAT APR 1 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
NORTHEAST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 305 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CST.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST OF DE QUEEN
ARKANSAS TO 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF PINE BLUFF ARKANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 121...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON
IN REGION OF ENHANCED LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION ACROSS NORTHEAST
TX/SOUTHWEST AR. THIS ACTIVITY MAY PERSIST MUCH OF THE
EVENING...WITH A RISK OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN STRONGER
CELLS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...HART
In addition, Tornado Watches 123 and 124 will likely be issued - north and south of 121. Could be PDS's.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 122
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
305 PM CST SAT APR 1 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
NORTHEAST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 305 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CST.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST OF DE QUEEN
ARKANSAS TO 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF PINE BLUFF ARKANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 121...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON
IN REGION OF ENHANCED LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION ACROSS NORTHEAST
TX/SOUTHWEST AR. THIS ACTIVITY MAY PERSIST MUCH OF THE
EVENING...WITH A RISK OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN STRONGER
CELLS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...HART
In addition, Tornado Watches 123 and 124 will likely be issued - north and south of 121. Could be PDS's.
0 likes
-
wx247
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 14279
- Age: 41
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
- Location: Monett, Missouri
- Contact:
They likely will not be PDSs because the highest threat area already has a watch out for it.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
JUST IN - First Tornado Warning
KSC009-020045-
/O.NEW.KICT.TO.W.0019.060402T0011Z-060402T0045Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
611 PM CST SAT APR 1 2006
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN BARTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS.
* UNTIL 645 PM CST
* AT 608 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ALBERT...OR 8 MILES WEST OF
GREAT BEND...AND MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.
* LOCATIONS WITHIN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
ALBERT...HOISINGTON...OLMITZ
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
LAT...LON 3862 9902 3825 9903 3846 9867 3870 9880
$$
HOWERTON
KSC009-020045-
/O.NEW.KICT.TO.W.0019.060402T0011Z-060402T0045Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
611 PM CST SAT APR 1 2006
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN BARTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS.
* UNTIL 645 PM CST
* AT 608 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ALBERT...OR 8 MILES WEST OF
GREAT BEND...AND MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.
* LOCATIONS WITHIN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
ALBERT...HOISINGTON...OLMITZ
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
LAT...LON 3862 9902 3825 9903 3846 9867 3870 9880
$$
HOWERTON
0 likes
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Tornado Watch 124 issued as expected...
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 124
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
625 PM CST SAT APR 1 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 625 PM UNTIL
200 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MILES
EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
HUTCHINSON KANSAS TO 40 MILES EAST OF WICHITA FALLS TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 121...WW 122...WW 123...
DISCUSSION...CLUSTERS OF SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS OVER WESTERN OK
WILL SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL OK AND SOUTH CENTRAL KS DURING
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS ARE EXPECTED TO
STRENGTHEN SIGNIFICANTLY...ALONG WITH SLOWLY INCREASING MOISTURE.
THUS...POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HART
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 124
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
625 PM CST SAT APR 1 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 625 PM UNTIL
200 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MILES
EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
HUTCHINSON KANSAS TO 40 MILES EAST OF WICHITA FALLS TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 121...WW 122...WW 123...
DISCUSSION...CLUSTERS OF SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS OVER WESTERN OK
WILL SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL OK AND SOUTH CENTRAL KS DURING
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS ARE EXPECTED TO
STRENGTHEN SIGNIFICANTLY...ALONG WITH SLOWLY INCREASING MOISTURE.
THUS...POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HART
0 likes
Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 19 guests