Severe Weather Season Skips S/SE TX Again??

[jasons2k]

It seems like severe weather season has skipped the far southern plains/South Texas and went straight to the central plains and midwest. It did this last year too. It's getting frustrating down here - not only a shortage of active weather but we keep missing out on our spring rains and we go into summer with a rainfall deficit. Also, it seems like the DFW metro area doesn't get the storms like they used to either. Is this a fluke or a long-term trend?

What gives? Opinions, comments, fellow-venting welcome.

[cheezyWXguy]

Ya Ive been wondering the same thing...its really annoying...the last real storm I can remember only lasted 15 minutes and dropped quater sized hail...nothing else after that

[PTrackerLA]

The storms have definately been missing south Louisiana as well. I can't even remember the last time we had a thunderstorm (was back in February). We are quickly settling into a moderate drought with no relief in sight. If we don't start getting rains later in April we'll be heading into the hottest months of the year in a severe drought which will only compound the problems.

[wxman22]

For us in Southeast Texas the severe weather peak doesnt come until May so we still have time to see atleast one severe wx event...

[HurricaneHunter914]

By now I would have seen 20 thunderstorms.

[Extremeweatherguy]

It looks like the system midweek may be a little further south than the last two and we may see a slightly higher severe risk in the Houston area. Even so, the risk will be "slight" at best and rain chances will likely be below 40%. Hopefully things start picking up later in the month.

[Dr. Jonah Rainwater]

Dallas is still bone-dry. Except for that 8-inches-in-12-hours deluge we had like two weeks ago...it really hasn't rained here since October.

What a contrast to June 2004, when supercells rocked my world almost every single night that month.

[cheezyWXguy]

Hopefully someday I will be welcomed back to April 2003 when I had a huge supercell drop golfball+ size hail and 65 mph winds...one most exciting nights of my life...incredable.

P.S. Dr. Jonah Rainwater, I remember that. I think one night we had 3 or 4 severe thunderstorm warnings in one night, one bringing us golfball sized hail, the others nickel.

[Tamora Mennenga]

Dallas is still bone-dry. Except for that 8-inches-in-12-hours deluge we had like two weeks ago...it really hasn't rained here since October.

What a contrast to June 2004, when supercells rocked my world almost every single night that month.

No lie! we lost power for 5 days! Seems like there was a storm everynight for a month! We got 17 inches of rain in southern tarrant county in one night. We have a bridge off 360 that you can see from the highway that is an arch form. It has debris in it from all the rain rushing though there. It was unbelieveable. There is also a creek that goes though the golf course and the cart path/bridget was washed away. They chose not to rebuild

[Dr. Jonah Rainwater]

Hopefully someday I will be welcomed back to April 2003 when I had a huge supercell drop golfball+ size hail and 65 mph winds...one most exciting nights of my life...incredable.

P.S. Dr. Jonah Rainwater, I remember that. I think one night we had 3 or 4 severe thunderstorm warnings in one night, one bringing us golfball sized hail, the others nickel.

I remember that April 03 hailstorm too. I was on Central Expressway at the time. It was my first hailstorm since moving here from tame NJ.

[cheezyWXguy]

ya it was a biggie...a lot of people in my neighborhood lost power and their skylights, we were pretty lcuky tho, not much damage

[Extremeweatherguy]

It is amazing how the SPC shows T-storms and may be even strong T-storms reaching Houston, but the NWS currently has us forecasted to be "partly cloudy" for the next two days. I am sensing some disagreement here. I think the whole question right now is WILL THE CAP HOLD? If the cap can break down this way, then I think the slight risk area will be extended southward. What are you guys' thoughts on this situation?

[jasons2k]

Unfortuantely it looks like the cap will win out again for the Houston area. It's like a broken record....maybe next week will bring us a decent chance though.

[6SpeedTA95]

It's frustrating for the running 12 month period we're 25 inches behind on rain and thats after 2 inches of catchup hte last 3 weeks or so. This happens every so often, its weird I was talking to a friend of mine today about how this will be four severe weather seasons in a row where it skips the souther plains for the most part. HOWEVER, it is still early, peak severe weather for us is in May and we're not even a week into april yet so I dunno that we should totally jump the gun on this deal.

[gwalls]

We will gladly send what we have been getting the past few weeks down your way. You can have it!! We are sick of it!!

[cheezyWXguy]

Ill take some please!

[m_ru]

I'll take some too!!!

[6SpeedTA95]

We will gladly send what we have been getting the past few weeks down your way. You can have it!! We are sick of it!!

blythville arkansas, wow, I've been through there 8 or 9 times, I like that little town

[Dr. Jonah Rainwater]

lol, I'll make a bet that the severe lines will stay within that "MDT" area. The line will likely taper off at the TX-OK border like last time. And Arkansas, Missouri, and Tennessee will be smashed AGAIN.

[Extremeweatherguy]

I am really getting sick of these "strong caps" over SE Texas. I am really starting to get desprate for some severe weather!