Moderate Risk, Friday

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conestogo_flood
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Moderate Risk, Friday

#1 Postby conestogo_flood » Fri Apr 14, 2006 11:26 am

Image

Only 5% tornado though.

Any thoughts?
Last edited by conestogo_flood on Fri Apr 14, 2006 11:52 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby tidesong » Fri Apr 14, 2006 11:44 am

Huh, that looks like today's (Friday) outlook....
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#3 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Apr 14, 2006 11:45 am

Yeah that is today's outlook. There is very seldom a moderate risk with only 5% tornado unless it is a sure-fire squall line.
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#4 Postby conestogo_flood » Fri Apr 14, 2006 11:52 am

tidesong wrote:Huh, that looks like today's (Friday) outlook....


Oops! Feels like Saturday, with the Holiday and all. My bad.
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#5 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Apr 14, 2006 12:37 pm

Can the SPC upgrade a Severe Thunderstorm Watch to a Tornado Watch before the first watch expires?

Does that watch simply get cancelled or upgraded while keeping the same number?
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#6 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Apr 14, 2006 12:41 pm

Still don't understand the 5% for tornadoes but 45% (unhatched) for wind considering this does not appear to be a squall line event.
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#7 Postby conestogo_flood » Fri Apr 14, 2006 1:37 pm

It is such a small 5% area too. Does anyone expect an upgrade to 10%?
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#8 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Apr 14, 2006 1:56 pm

I expect a upgrade to 15 or 20...

20 tornado's now. In yesterday could of made a few f3s by the way it sounds.
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#9 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Apr 14, 2006 4:51 pm

When is activity supposed to start? It's looking like a bust right now...
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#10 Postby Windy » Fri Apr 14, 2006 6:37 pm

Hardly a bust. There's a nice rightmover south of Chicago, on the border of IL and IN:

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/paulradar.pl?LOT

Pretty strong BWER on that thing, too.

Another nice supercell to its ENE.
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#11 Postby Windy » Fri Apr 14, 2006 7:05 pm

BTW, conestogo_flood, if you're in KIND like you said you were planning to be, if you ever wanted to possibly die in a tornado, I-65 westbound is where you want to be. Maybe I-74 if that thing keeps turning right so hard.
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#12 Postby simplykristi » Fri Apr 14, 2006 7:16 pm

Lots of bad weather in IL and IN. Stay safe, everyone!

Kristi
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#13 Postby Gorky » Fri Apr 14, 2006 7:18 pm

This cell is organising very well at the moment. Heading straight for the Indianapolis area (although still a little way out) so it needs to be watched.

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#14 Postby simplykristi » Fri Apr 14, 2006 7:21 pm

The storms are moving towards Indianapolis as we speak.

Kristi
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#15 Postby therock1811 » Fri Apr 14, 2006 7:34 pm

Now headed toward Cincy metro...skies very, VERY scary looking over Florence right now...I'm really scared of what's coming down the pike...
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#16 Postby simplykristi » Fri Apr 14, 2006 7:41 pm

Looks like the storms over SE IN are producing quarter-size hail.

Kristi
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#17 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Apr 14, 2006 7:45 pm

AT 804 PM EDT...INDIANA STATE POLICE REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR THE
STATE POLICE POST AT COUNTY ROAD 800 NORTH AND INTERSTATE 65. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR BATTLE GROUND...OR ABOUT 10 MILES NORTH OF
LAFAYETTE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
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#18 Postby therock1811 » Fri Apr 14, 2006 7:49 pm

simplykristi wrote:Looks like the storms over SE IN are producing quarter-size hail.

Kristi


Golfball size hail reported in Batesville, IN a few minutes ago according to WCPO-TV in Cincy.
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#19 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Apr 14, 2006 7:50 pm

Talk about firing up so fast!!!
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#20 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Apr 14, 2006 7:54 pm

The severe weather stretches far north too! Not far from me there is a severe thunderstorm warning...and looks like a good bow echo too... http://www.weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/radar ... tml?id=WSO
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