Extratropical Storm Barry HPC Advisories

[Chacor]

Might as well create a new thread for the extratropical storm's advisories and discussion (in this sub-forum as it's no longer a tropical thing and is now an Eastern Seaboard rain event). Interestingly the HPC are providing forecast positions...

000
WTNT32 KWNH 031505
TCPAT2

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 8 FOR REMNANTS OF BARRY
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL022007
11 AM EDT SUN JUN 3 2007

...THREAT OF FLOODING CONTINUES...

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS
OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...EASTERN VIRGINIA...SOUTHEAST
MARYLAND...SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA...AND MUCH OF NEW JERSEY.

AT 11 AM EDT...THE 992 MILLIBAR...29.29 INCHES LOW PRESSURE CENTER
WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40 MILES...65 KILOMETERS EAST-NORTHEAST
OF CHARLESTON...SOUTH CAROLINA NEAR 33.2 NORTH...79.4 WEST...AND
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT APPROXIMATELY 10 MPH...8
KT...16 KM/H. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 MPH...35 KNOTS...65
KM/H.

RECENT DOPPLER RADAR IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN EXTENDS FROM SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY TO WEST
VIRGINIA AND SOUTHWARD TO NORTHEASTERN GEORGIA. DRY AIR HAS
WORKED AROUND THE CIRCULATION OVER THE EASTERN CAROLINAS...AND
INTERMITTENT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.
PRECIPITATION SHOULD SPREAD INTO PHILADELPHIA BEFORE 12 PM EDT.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 8 AM EDT

...FLORIDA...

WEST PALM BEACH INTL ARPT 6.99
MELBOURNE WFO 6.03
LARGO (MCKAY CREEK) 6.01
SUWANNEE 6 NE 5.25
CHIEFLAND 5 SE 5.15
CLEARWATER (ALLIGATOR CREEK) 4.95
DUNEDIN 4.63
NASA SHUTTLE FACILITY 4.57
PATRICK AFB/COCOA BEACH 4.56
TARPON SPRINGS 5 E (BROOKER CREEK) 4.56
MACDILL AIR FORCE BASE 4.24
HOLIDAY 5 E 4.16
VERO BEACH MUNI AIRPORT 4.15
SAFETY HARBOR 4.09
JACKSONVILLE/CRAIG MUNI AIRPORT 4.07
TOWN 'N COUNTRY 3.95
FORT LAUDERDALE/HOLLYWOOD 3.94
ST PETE/CLEARWATER INTL 3.79
PINELLAS PARK (PINEBROOK CANAL) 3.74
BRONSON FAWN 3.67
CROSS CITY AIRPORT 3.62
ALBERT WHITTED 3.54
INVERNESS 3 SE 3.50
PALM RIVER-CLAIR MEL 3.34
TAMPA INTL 3.17
JACKSONVILLE INTL AIRPORT 3.17
THONOTOSASSA 3.00

...GEORGIA...

LEVY 6.14
DOWNTOWN SAVANNAH 5.91
MIDWAY 5.70
METTER 5.68
SAVANNAH MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 5.20
PORT WENTWORTH 4.17
ALMA/BACON CO. AIRPORT 4.05
HINESVILLE 4.00
TYBEE ISLAND 3.68
BRUNSWICK/MALCOLM MCKINNON AIRPORT 3.64
FORT STEWART 3.50
HUNTER ARMY AIRFIELD 3.20
DARIEN 2.71
REIDSVILLE 2.56
WALTHOURVILLE 2.55
BLITCHTON 2.22
MILLEN 2.06

...SOUTH CAROLINA...

LEVY 5.38
HILTON HEAD 3.40
BLUFFTON 3.13
BEAUFORT 2.91
CHARLESTON AIRPORT 2.38
FOLLY BEACH 2.15
EDISTO BEACH 2.12

...NORTH CAROLINA...

NEW BERN/CRAVEN CO. AIRPORT 2.08
WILMINGTON/NEW HANOVER CO. AIRPORT 1.81
SEYMOUR-JOHNSON AFB 1.52
FORT BRAGG/FAYETTEVILLE 1.34
NEW RIVER NCAS 1.31
BEAUFORT/SMITH FIELD 1.31
POPE AFB/FAYETTEVILLE 1.26
ROCKY MOUNT-WILSON AIRPORT 1.22
CHAPEL HILL/WILLIAMS AIRPORT 1.22
HOFFMAN/MACKALL AAF 1.18
ROANOKE RAPIDS/HALIFAX CO. AIRPORT 1.17
FAYETTEVILLE RGNL AIRPORT 1.14
JACKSONVILLE/ELLIS AIRPORT 1.03

...VIRGINIA...

DANVILLE REGIONAL AIRPORT 1.00


THE EXTRA TROPICAL REMNANTS OF BARRY ARE FORECAST TO MOVE UP THE
EASTERN SEABOARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES WILL BE COMMON FROM NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST STATES OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...33.2 NORTH...79.4
WEST...MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT APPROXIMATELY 10
MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS AT 40 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...992 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 5 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
ON THIS STORM.

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 03/1500Z 33.2N 79.4W
12HR VT 04/0000Z 35.9N 77.1W
24HR VT 04/1200Z 40.0N 74.5W
36HR VT 05/0000Z 44.7N 73.6W
48HR VT 05/1200Z...OVER CANADA

SCHECK
$$

[WindRunner]

The 5 am discussion didn't . . . but I guess they have the option of doing so if they feel like it . . .