Here comes Ex-Jeanne,with our other freind Lisa!!!

[KWT]

looks like ex-Jeanne is about to pay a little visit to us in the U.K,in the form of some very heavy rain and also some fairly nasty gusts.however what's worse is that Lisa is being underdone by the models and will not degenrate into a cold front wave feature that fast and so will likely affect this system and deepening it much more than the models are giving on at present,here's the first advanced warning:

EARLY WARNING OF SEVERE WEATHER

EARLY WARNING OF HEAVY RAIN


ISSUED BY THE MET OFFICE AT 11:28 ON FRIDAY, 1 OCTOBER 2004.

OVERALL RISK ASSESSMENT: THE PROBABILITY OF DISRUPTION DUE TO
SEVERE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN PART OF THE UNITED KINGDOM WITHIN THE
NEXT 72 HOURS IS 60 PERCENT.

REGIONAL RISK ASSESSMENT FOR THE OCCURRENCE OF SEVERE WEATHER
CONDITIONS BETWEEN 06:00 ON SUNDAY 3 OCTOBER 2004 AND 12:00 ON
MONDAY 4 OCTOBER 2004.

NORTHERN SCOTLAND30[ PERCENT
EASTERN SCOTLAND30[ PERCENT
SOUTH WEST SCOTLAND 50[ PERCENT
NORTHERN IRELAND50[ PERCENT
NORTH WEST ENGLAND 40[ PERCENT
NORTH EAST ENGLAND 30[ PERCENT
THE MIDLANDS 40[ PERCENT
WALES 50[ PERCENT
SOUTH WEST ENGLAND 50[ PERCENT
CENTRAL SOUTHERN ENGLAND 40[ PERCENT
SOUTH EAST ENGLAND 30[ PERCENT
EAST ANGLIA AND LINCOLNSHIRE 30[ PERCENT

THIS IS THE FIRST WARNING OF DISRUPTION DUE TO HEAVY RAIN.

THE MET OFFICE IS FORECASTING A DEEPENING DEPRESSION RUNNING
NORTHEASTWARDS ACROSS THE COUNTRY DURING SUNDAY 3 OCTOBER BRINGING
VERY WET AND WINDY WEATHER.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 25-50MM ARE EXPECTED IN THE HIGHER RISK AREAS
OVER A 30 HOUR PERIOD WITH 60-100MM POSSIBLE LOCALLY (IN EXPOSED OR
UPLAND LOCATIONS). IN ADDITION, THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
GALES TO DEVELOP ALONG THE SOUTHERN FLANK OF THE LOW WITH A 30[ RISK
OF DAMAGING 60-70MPH GUSTS. THIS MAY LEAD TO POSSIBLE DISRUPTION TO
TRANSPORT FOLLOWING DEBRIS FROM FALLEN TREES OR BROKEN BRANCHES.

THE DEVELOPMENT AND EXACT TRACK OF THE LOW IS UNCERTAIN AT PRESENT,
BUT ON BALANCE NORTHERN IRELAND, WESTERN AREAS OF BOTH ENGLAND AND
WALES AND SW SCOTLAND LOOK MOST PRONE TO PROLONGED, HEAVY RAIN,
WHILE WESTERN AND NORTHERN AREAS ARE MORE AT RISK OF ANY SEVERE
GALES.

[P.K.]

I'm going back to uni tomorrow so I'll be going to an area with a higher percentage change of being affected.

Bet it won't top tonights display of one flash of lightning and rumble of thunder though.