anyone else see a bombing out once in SE GOM?

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PerfectStorm
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anyone else see a bombing out once in SE GOM?

#1 Postby PerfectStorm » Thu Aug 25, 2005 10:19 pm

just looking at the latest IR imagery, Kat's moisture envelope is increasing and looks like once she gets back to the SE GOM she is going to light up some fireworks!
    Last edited by PerfectStorm on Thu Aug 25, 2005 10:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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    lilbump3000
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    #2 Postby lilbump3000 » Thu Aug 25, 2005 10:20 pm

    Why so many people saying when she gets back in the SW gulf its SE gulf.
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    #3 Postby PerfectStorm » Thu Aug 25, 2005 10:22 pm

    SE GOM SW FL = confusion :roll:
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    jax

    #4 Postby jax » Thu Aug 25, 2005 10:22 pm

    lilbump3000 wrote:Why so many people saying when she gets back in the SW gulf its SE gulf.
    \\

    :lol: :lol: i think they are so used to calling it the SW Florida area,,,

    honest mistake...

    and yes... IMHO... a Major by Saturday with plenty of warm
    water ahead of it...

    :eek:
    Last edited by jax on Thu Aug 25, 2005 10:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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    #5 Postby NastyCat4 » Thu Aug 25, 2005 10:23 pm

    Maybe it is headed to the SW gulf? :roll:
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    #6 Postby PerfectStorm » Thu Aug 25, 2005 10:27 pm

    i edited for correctness, it is important and yes eventually guess it could track to the SW GOM but highly unlikely. the curve and where will be essential.
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    #7 Postby tailgater » Thu Aug 25, 2005 10:30 pm

    I was just looking at the WV loop and IMHO she will start to feel some shear fairly soon from the north but I haven't heard anyone else saying anything about that yet.
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    #8 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Aug 25, 2005 10:30 pm

    lilbump3000 wrote:Why so many people saying when she gets back in the SW gulf its SE gulf.


    At the speed she is moving at you mean the Carribean right? :lol:
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    #9 Postby Javlin » Thu Aug 25, 2005 11:51 pm

    tailgater wrote:I was just looking at the WV loop and IMHO she will start to feel some shear fairly soon from the north but I haven't heard anyone else saying anything about that yet.


    Shear has been forcast to be in a favorable state for the next 72 hrs.
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    #10 Postby Sanibel » Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:22 am

    I think people are missing the serious potential that IR is screaming at us...
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    #11 Postby tampastorm » Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:26 am

    I think we all know. Just this storm has become somewhat unpredictable, so no one knows what is next.
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    #12 Postby djtil » Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:45 am

    i still see problems in the north semi but all in all a rapid intensification to cat 4 is possible.......but, as always, not likely
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    #13 Postby tailgater » Fri Aug 26, 2005 1:12 am

    Javlin wrote:
    tailgater wrote:I was just looking at the WV loop and IMHO she will start to feel some shear fairly soon from the north but I haven't heard anyone else saying anything about that yet.


    Shear has been forcast to be in a favorable state for the next 72 hrs.

    Certainly looks like it's being sheared from the north to me, check out the radar and watch all the deep convention disappearing north of the center.
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    #14 Postby Coredesat » Fri Aug 26, 2005 1:30 am

    tailgater wrote:Certainly looks like it's being sheared from the north to me, check out the radar and watch all the deep convention disappearing north of the center.


    Dry air.
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    #15 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Aug 26, 2005 1:47 am

    and shear / dry air doesn't mean a think once it gets back over the gulf. At that point, say goodbye to shear and dry air.
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    LilNoles2005
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    I think..

    #16 Postby LilNoles2005 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 2:09 am

    I think she's about to take off!
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    tim_in_ga
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    #17 Postby tim_in_ga » Fri Aug 26, 2005 5:56 am

    I'd say wind shear ahead looks pretty low, if I am reading this right:

    http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html
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    johngaltfla
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    #18 Postby johngaltfla » Fri Aug 26, 2005 6:47 am

    Sorry for our brethren in the panhandle, but I can easily see a Cat 3 before landfall. The SSTs are warm enough and without any shear it has two full days to wind up.

    :eek:
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