New GFDL=Biloxi/Pascagoula, 12z tropicals (FWIW)=NOLA

[milankovitch]

the ukmet and gfdl now agree.....looks like nola may get fringe....fingers crossed.

Yah noticed that still want to wait for the full suite of models that colorado university will put out at 1500Z. However, the motion of Katrina is still dead center on the NHC forcast track (slightly wobbling that has recently taken the storm from just east of the track to right over it) so I'm not completely swayed by just two models but hopefully it does turn east or weaken or something.

[Stormcenter]

Man this looks like it's POSSIBLY starting a north then NNE hook, IMO.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=7

[shorrock]

Yes, I see that it appears to move east, but I wonder about the plot showing that the start of the storms are so dramatically different, if you look at the start of ukmet and gfdl, they are way south and east of the nhc start point. might the start position of the plot affect the finish position of the plot on these sfwmd plots?

[gulfcoastdave]

I see it but need to see more frames until we know for sure. what does anyone else think

[gulfcoastdave]

I see it but need to see more frames until we know for sure. what does anyone else think