Some good news for N.O.

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Stormcenter
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Some good news for N.O.

#1 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Aug 29, 2005 6:27 am

She looks like she starting her NNE motion earlier than expected.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... klix.shtml
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#2 Postby Zadok » Mon Aug 29, 2005 6:29 am

wobble
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#3 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Aug 29, 2005 6:31 am

Zadok wrote:wobble


I thought the same thing initially but Fox and CNN also mentioned it.
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superfly

#4 Postby superfly » Mon Aug 29, 2005 6:36 am

It doesn't matter if it's a wobble or not. Wobbles don't mean much when they're out at sea but wobbles now mean a lot.
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#5 Postby Hyperstorm » Mon Aug 29, 2005 6:59 am

superfly wrote:It doesn't matter if it's a wobble or not. Wobbles don't mean much when they're out at sea but wobbles now mean a lot.


Bingo!
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InimanaChoogamaga

#6 Postby InimanaChoogamaga » Mon Aug 29, 2005 7:01 am

Doesn't look very wobbly. Looks due north. And it looks like the western eyewall will scrape parts of NO but not the eastern eyewall at least. Anyone agree? disagree?
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#7 Postby Patrick99 » Mon Aug 29, 2005 7:06 am

What's wrong with stating what we see?

This is obviously not the same storm we saw yesterday. The eye looks ragged and the eyewall looks somewhat eroded. Plus, it looks to pass N.O. to the east. To my eye, it appears that New Orleans may avoid "catastrophic damage."

Yes, someone's getting a still-strong hurricane, but I'm not sure this is the worst case scenario everyone feared.
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#8 Postby vbhoutex » Mon Aug 29, 2005 7:07 am

In case no one noticed I just deleted several posts in this thread. Stop arguing about who said what or how and discuss the weather!!! Suspensions will follow for all concerned if it does not stop!
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#9 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Aug 29, 2005 7:09 am

This confirms the slight east shift.

ZCZC MIATCEAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE KATRINA TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005

AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS ESTIMATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.5 WEST. THIS POSITION IS
ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA...AND ABOUT 75
MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI.

PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI CIVIL DEFENSE REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 113 MPH
WITHIN THE PAST HOUR AT THEIR OFFICE.

FORECASTER PASCH

$$
NNNN
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MannyG

#10 Postby MannyG » Mon Aug 29, 2005 7:14 am

InimanaChoogamaga wrote:Doesn't look very wobbly. Looks due north. And it looks like the western eyewall will scrape parts of NO but not the eastern eyewall at least. Anyone agree? disagree?


I live in eastern New Orleans, currently in Conyers, GA. It looks like if it moves due north it will pass just to the east of my area which means only extreme, extreme eastern N.O. will get the eye but it is still close enough to get Cat 4 winds. It could've been worse, but I still doubt my apartment complex will survive. French Quarter hotel already lost roof, this is just the beginning.
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#11 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Aug 29, 2005 7:17 am

MannyG wrote:
InimanaChoogamaga wrote:Doesn't look very wobbly. Looks due north. And it looks like the western eyewall will scrape parts of NO but not the eastern eyewall at least. Anyone agree? disagree?


I live in eastern New Orleans, currently in Conyers, GA. It looks like if it moves due north it will pass just to the east of my area which means only extreme, extreme eastern N.O. will get the eye but it is still close enough to get Cat 4 winds. It could've been worse, but I still doubt my apartment complex will survive. French Quarter hotel already lost roof, this is just the beginning.


I don't think you will feel Cat 4 winds western side of the eyewall.
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#12 Postby Mello1 » Mon Aug 29, 2005 7:20 am

The mayor of NO just interviewed on the Today Show. 1 pump has failed, some water is coming over the levy in the 9th ward (se of the lake). Windows breaking in hotels.
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#13 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Mon Aug 29, 2005 7:21 am

Reguardless them NE winds are Pushing that water to its Max right now!
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#14 Postby blueeyes_austin » Mon Aug 29, 2005 7:24 am

http://radar.weather.gov/radar/loop/DS.p19r0/si.kmob.shtml

Watching this, it appears to me like it is jogging a little bit to the west.

Hope that stops.
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