opinions anyone?

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Derek Ortt

#21 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Sep 08, 2005 2:18 pm

models have shifted well left at 12Z, with the AVNI having a very strong cat 2 moving toward north FL/Geogia in 5 days
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drudd1
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#22 Postby drudd1 » Thu Sep 08, 2005 2:19 pm

Hmmm, I think it will sit there until it moves. At that point it will slowly head somewhere, and there is a definate possibility that it may or may not return for another visit :D

While I am fooling around, sadly, at this point the above is about as firm as any real forecast could be at this point. Only time will tell.
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#23 Postby Frank2 » Thu Sep 08, 2005 2:21 pm

Of course this is the "Talkin' Tropics" page, and, with the knowledge of what was to come with a Katrina-type situation, many of us (myself included) discussed what other atmospheric possibilities were there at that time - as the man said in the movie, hope is a good thing.

Frank
Last edited by Frank2 on Thu Sep 08, 2005 2:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#24 Postby sweetpea » Thu Sep 08, 2005 2:21 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:models have shifted well left at 12Z, with the AVNI having a very strong cat 2 moving toward north FL/Geogia in 5 days


Do you have a link for that? Debbie
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Doc Seminole

#25 Postby Doc Seminole » Thu Sep 08, 2005 2:33 pm

cmdebbie wrote:I agree! Although I am glad that the heat has let up!


Ah, hasn't been hot enough for me and the humidity has been to low all summer.

Doc Seminole 8-)
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#26 Postby nequad » Thu Sep 08, 2005 2:35 pm

North Carolina eventually.

Ophelia will loop around then be turned due north in 5-6 days.

An educated guess...
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#27 Postby decgirl66 » Thu Sep 08, 2005 2:38 pm

feederband wrote:It will sit there the rest of year deflecting other storms as they apporach... :wink:


That gets my vote! LOL
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Rainband

#28 Postby Rainband » Thu Sep 08, 2005 2:38 pm

decgirl66 wrote:
feederband wrote:It will sit there the rest of year deflecting other storms as they apporach... :wink:


That gets my vote! LOL
I like that one the Best :wink:
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#29 Postby otowntiger » Thu Sep 08, 2005 2:40 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:models have shifted well left at 12Z, with the AVNI having a very strong cat 2 moving toward north FL/Geogia in 5 days


With this storm you can't just say that the models have shifted right or left. You have to clarify, because if you say left that would sound like left from where she is, i.e. Central FL, if you say right its out to sea. And what about the loop de loop? If it is left on the return, that would mean south Florida, if it is right that would be North FL/South GA. LOL!
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#30 Postby sponger » Thu Sep 08, 2005 2:40 pm

Derek, looking forward to your thoughts at 5:00!
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Re: opinions anyone?

#31 Postby lester » Thu Sep 08, 2005 3:41 pm

tallbunch wrote:Where do you think O will finally make landfall?

THIS IS JUST AN OPINION


I believe GA in 5 days

Hopefully it will not make landfall where Isabel makes landfall :roll:
btw, Florida in 7 days
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#32 Postby curtinnc » Thu Sep 08, 2005 4:23 pm

hmmmm...

Well might be way off the concensus, but I'm thinking South Carolina...

Whatever northern component may arise from that trough that may be around in 4-5 days might only be able to get her about as far as SC... with an eventual recurve back to sea over NC and Va... Just a guess though, but no more silly than this thing hitting Labrador either at this point...
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#33 Postby HurricaneGirl » Thu Sep 08, 2005 4:50 pm

The models are freakin me out. :?: :?:
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#34 Postby millibar » Thu Sep 08, 2005 4:59 pm

Looking at virtually all of the 1200Z main globals (UKMET, NOGAPS, MM5,
the good 'ole GFS :wink: and the GFDL), I'm placing my bet on the SE coast between Southern SC to the OBX. Don't flame me, I never commit myself to any type of landfall predictions, especially one as crazy as the Divine Miss "O" , but you asked!!! :wink:

So, my chips are on the table. That, and a dollar will buy ya a cup of coffee!!! :lol:

Chuck
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#35 Postby HurricaneGirl » Thu Sep 08, 2005 5:03 pm

This girl Jenny at work keeps insisting that Ophelia is going to loop around and come back and hit Jax. :eek: I don't know what to think. :eek: Some of them are pointing right at us. :eek:
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Rainband

#36 Postby Rainband » Thu Sep 08, 2005 5:06 pm

I will say the Carolinas if anything. It may just head out to sea. :wink:
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#37 Postby greeng13 » Thu Sep 08, 2005 5:07 pm

"On Shakespeare's Ophelia

By Carol McCluer

The title of the book, Reviving Ophelia, is a reference to the character of Ophelia in Shakespeare’s play, Hamlet; she is used as a symbol for what the author, Mary Pipher, says happens to young women. “As a girl Ophelia is happy and free,” she writes, but at adolescence “...has no inner direction.” When she falls in love with Hamlet, she “lives only for his approval” and “struggles to meet the demands of Hamlet and her father...[T]orn apart by her efforts to please,” Pipher continues, Ophelia goes mad with grief and drowns herself.""

quoted from website posted below

http://www.aestheticrealismtheatreco.org/ophelia.htm

kinda sounds like our girl huh? maybe she will "drown herslef. either way ophelia...hamlet is not in the USA...go across "The Pond" you might find him in England and then again maybe you will drown on the way. :D
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#38 Postby HurricaneGirl » Thu Sep 08, 2005 5:11 pm

Ophelia is one of the smaller moons in the Solar System and is the second innermost known moon of Uranus. It has a diameter of 16 kilometers and is 53,760 kilometers from the center of Uranus. Ophelia acts as the outer shepherd satellite for Uranus' epsilon ring.
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