How strong could Rita get?

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f5
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How strong could Rita get?

#1 Postby f5 » Sun Sep 18, 2005 3:29 pm

could she have Katrina type winds/pressure?
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#2 Postby gatorcane » Sun Sep 18, 2005 3:30 pm

:eek:
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#3 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Sep 18, 2005 3:31 pm

Rita? You mean to say tropical depression 18...I say it will become a tropical storm durning the next 12 hours. Fellowed by a hurricane by 48 to 54 hours. Maybe a cat2 over the Gulf.
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#4 Postby wxmann_91 » Sun Sep 18, 2005 3:36 pm

Not likely even close to Katrina strength thanks to dry air, upwelled waters, and a possible increase in shear once Rita gets in the GOM, but major hurricane (even Cat 4) is not out of the question. :eek:
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#5 Postby WindRunner » Sun Sep 18, 2005 3:39 pm

I feel pretty safe calling it Rita now after seeing all of the recon reports with 45kt FL winds, so I think Rita will reach a peak at 120-125kts. I wouldn't be surprised if that was a little low, though.
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#6 Postby cjrciadt » Sun Sep 18, 2005 3:40 pm

The pole thread for 18/Rita in pressure was bumped up.
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#7 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Sun Sep 18, 2005 3:43 pm

Cat 4-5 easy...Southern Gulf is warm ..Real warm
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Re: How strong could Rita get?

#8 Postby jax » Sun Sep 18, 2005 3:47 pm

f5 wrote:could she have Katrina type winds/pressure?


none of us will probably ever see a storm as large as Kat with those
winds and that preasure and that type of surge...
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#9 Postby gilbert88 » Sun Sep 18, 2005 3:49 pm

Hmm... I don't see this system going over Cat. 3... althought that is bad enough. It's kind of creepy that it has either a very high chance of hitting the only spared area of the whole GOM.
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#10 Postby ChaserUK » Sun Sep 18, 2005 3:52 pm

lets face it with that GOM water she could go all the way. This is not a forecast etc etc however.
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#11 Postby f5 » Sun Sep 18, 2005 4:18 pm

well TD 18 has just been upgraded to TS Rita looks like its time to start batting down the hatches
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#12 Postby ConvergenceZone » Sun Sep 18, 2005 4:26 pm

ChaserUK wrote:lets face it with that GOM water she could go all the way. This is not a forecast etc etc however.



You got to remember though, there's other factors besides SST which will determine the strenth of a storm. Dry Air, Shear, etc...They even said with Katrina that it takes almost PERFECT conditions to make a storm a strong cat4 or cat 5 cane. The conditions for Katrina were PERFECT, anything less then that, means a less intense storm. A Cat 3 seems the most likely possibility based on the future conditions of the Gulf and what the NHC is saying. A Cat 3 is nothing to sneeze at though.
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#13 Postby HurricaneGirl » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:28 pm

:eek:
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