Noaa says: Goodbye el nino hello la nina!!!

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon May 19, 2003 1:07 pm

http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories/s1147.htm

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... _advisory/

Well this for me and the other members who haved seen the ENSO factor changing to cooler conditions in the pacific it is not new but comming from noaa it is significant because they haved been conservative with el nino/la nina thing but now they are going for la nina by summer so that is a big change from them.

Rainband · #2 Postby **Rainband** » Mon May 19, 2003 1:16 pm

That will really amplify the number of hurricanes..if La Nina is in full swing during the peak of the season!!!! :o

#3 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon May 19, 2003 1:17 pm

Yes rainband. :o

Lindaloo · #4 Postby **Lindaloo** » Mon May 19, 2003 1:26 pm

I get so confused on those two weather phenom's. What does La Nina mean for my area and what is the effect El Nino brings to my area. Area of the MS Gulf Coast. Thanks.

#5 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon May 19, 2003 1:33 pm

Lindaloo el nino means for the gulf coast plenty of rain and cooler temps and la nina means less rain and warmer temps but those 2 scenarios are for winter only.

Rainband · #6 Postby **Rainband** » Mon May 19, 2003 1:47 pm

cycloneye wrote:Lindaloo el nino means for the gulf coast plenty of rain and cooler temps and la nina means less rain and warmer temps but those 2 scenarios are for winter only.

The end of El Nino also means the end of the upper level wind shear that prevents canes from forming and the presence of La Nina will increase the intensity of the many canes that do form!! :o

Guest · #7 Postby **Guest** » Mon May 19, 2003 1:50 pm

What are the scenarios for the summer months then Ceye?

Patricia

#8 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon May 19, 2003 1:50 pm

Yes rainband mr shear will be gone :o

#9 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon May 19, 2003 2:05 pm

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/predic ... xus05.html

Ticka you may want to read this because in there is the answer to your question and If I explain all of that then it will take me a lot to post but there is the whole forecast for summer with la nina for the continental US.

Guest · #10 Postby **Guest** » Mon May 19, 2003 2:07 pm

Thanks CEYE - I'll read it tonight at home.

Patricia

#11 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon May 19, 2003 2:29 pm

Ok ticka I am glad to help you on this.

Lindaloo · #12 Postby **Lindaloo** » Mon May 19, 2003 6:59 pm

Thanks for giving me the info Ceye!! For the past three years we have had dry summers. I was hoping we would not have to endure that this summer. Sure do not want another cane either!!

Stormsfury · #13 Postby **Stormsfury** » Mon May 19, 2003 9:03 pm

ticka1 wrote:What are the scenarios for the summer months then Ceye?

Patricia

Just reading through this thread ... I didn't read the article, however, during La Niña Summers, the general trend is for hotter and drier summers ... the pattern is displaced where a lot of ridging (Bermuda High) supresses afternoon and evening thunderstorms on average.

However, since many areas have had recent soakings, in those areas where there's plenty of ground moisture, this should offset the usually drier conditions and allow for more afternoon and evening thunderstorms to develop ... something which was lacking the past few La Niña summers.

To note: areas which have unfortunately dry this spring will likely continue as drought conditions feed on themselves (such as plentiful rainfall does as well) ... a classic feast or famine situation ...

Noaa says: Goodbye el nino hello la nina!!!

Noaa says: Goodbye el nino hello la nina!!!

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