Even if atlantic system does not develop it smells trouble

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jun 09, 2003 6:23 pm

It is an indication that the cape verde season will be more active than the past 3 years as the monsoon trough in the atlantic will be there to spin systems.The caribbean islands must prepare for a rough CV season in august and september: :o as I see the pattern this season but hopefully those CV systems go away from the islands.

Rainband · #2 Postby **Rainband** » Mon Jun 09, 2003 6:30 pm

Good point cy..I think the GOM will be very active too..This year all areas of the atlantic basin are open for business!!!!! :o

Stormsfury · #3 Postby **Stormsfury** » Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:03 pm

This system may have briefly achieved tropical depression status, but that's going to be all folks ... with the biggest thing working against it, climatology ... (I know, I know ... This is the year of firsts and record breakers) ... Since records have been kept, no known tropical storms in the Tropical North Atlantic in June in the CV region ...

Like Cycloneye stated above, if this the sign to come though for the season, the CV season looks to be quite active ...

Loop of a Train of Waves in Africa.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... cjava.html

weatherlover427 · #4 Postby **weatherlover427** » Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:04 pm

We should be very aware of any developments this season. :o

#5 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:31 pm

Another record Stormsfury?Well it will be a close call for this system to develop as the window closes but who knows if the trough lifts north and then allows development as shear will go away.

Toni - 574 · #6 Postby **Toni - 574** » Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:31 pm

This season has been busting at the seams to get started. The season has barely started and we have seen some amazing action already that is just not the norm. If this is a preview of things to come, we may indeed have the makings of a historical year. The spin looks good in the East; I believe this is the first of several that we are going to see.

Toni :roll:

Stormsfury · #7 Postby **Stormsfury** » Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:39 pm

cycloneye wrote:Another record Stormsfury?Well it will be a close call for this system to develop as the window closes but who knows if the trough lifts north and then allows development as shear will go away.

Quite possible with the way 2003 has been going, though, I still believe that climatology ... along with more hostile condition should degenerate this area into an inverted trough ... though, I must admit, the low was quite impressive ...

#8 Postby **Steve** » Mon Jun 09, 2003 8:14 pm

>>Loop of a Train of Waves in Africa.

Great point. June waves aren't usually this strong. I don't know if it's a harbinger or something out of current conditions. But we'd be licking our chops and holding our breaths if this was late August or early September. Productivity would be tanking at my office

.

Let's put it this way: if the impulses crossing Africa remain as strong as they are now, there's going to be a lot of available/potential energy to work with.

Steve

Stormsfury · #9 Postby **Stormsfury** » Mon Jun 09, 2003 9:56 pm

One other problem I see with the development of the tropical low ...

A huge UPPER LOW (Dry one at that) located around 24ºN, 45ºW and a developing trough ahead of the TL. If shear don't get it, dry air will ...

Even if atlantic system does not develop it smells trouble

Even if atlantic system does not develop it smells trouble

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