Is La Nina trying to comeback

[Jim Cantore]

Look at this cool water moving westward

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_update/sstanim.shtml

[Dean4Storms]

Looks suspicious too me as well Floyd.

[LarryWx]

I say no. When it comes to determining ENSO states, only the SST anomaly matters, i.e the bottom map. The bottom map shows about steady conditions recently, i.e. no appreciable cooling of the anomalies, despite the cooling of the actual temp.'s. in the eastern equatorial Pacific that is shown in the top map. In other words, some cooling is normal at this time of year.

Also, keep in mind that it is NINO region 3.4 (120w-170W) that determines the official ENSO phase, not the easternmost Pacific. So, even if the easternmost Pacific anomalies were to cool substantially, that doesn't necessarily mean there is a La Nnia returning.

[AJC3]

The subsurface SST anomalies pretty much speak for themselves. There's no sign whatsoever of a restrengthening cold phase.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... zteq.shtml

[Jim Hughes]

The subsurface SST anomalies pretty much speak for themselves. There's no sign whatsoever of a restrengthening cold phase.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... zteq.shtml

Nothing else needs to be said.

[Aquawind]

Nice Slam Dunk AJC3! I have been wishing we had multiple graphics like that for the entire ATL Basin..

[Jim Cantore]

the Sub-surface shows above normal, this is going to be very intresting in the coming months, we have a little sibling dispute out there.