TWD and TWO - Please post the latest here.

[P.K.]

ABNT20 KNHC 290902
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT THU JUN 29 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES... AND ADJACENT
ATLANTIC WATERS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.
HOWEVER... BRIEF PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY
WINDS...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS... WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS MOST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES THIS MORNING... AND OVER THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS... PUERTO RICO... AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

A DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN BERMUDA
AND PUERTO RICO IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT
TO OCCUR.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

$$

FORECASTER STEWART

[bvigal]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 291104
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU JUN 29 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHEASTERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1045 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 28W/29W SOUTH OF 10N
MOVING WEST 10 TO 15 KT. NO PRECIPITATION IS DIRECTLY RELATED
JUST TO THIS WAVE. ITCZ SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FOUND
FROM 4N TO 6N BETWEEN 30W AND 32W.

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 46W/47W SOUTH OF 10N
MOVING WEST 10 TO 15 KT. NO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
DIRECTLY RELATED JUST TO THIS WAVE.

AN EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 63W SOUTH
OF 20N IS MOVING WEST 10 TO 15 KT. SCATTERED STRONG SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FOUND FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 57W AND
60W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS TO ISOLATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FOUND FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 54W AND 62W
GOING FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN AND SPILLING INTO THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA. OTHER ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE FOUND FROM 10N TO
20N BETWEEN 60W AND 64W. UPPER LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE WAVE MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ABOUT 15 KT. BRIEF PERIODS OF LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER
ELEVATIONS...WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MOST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
THIS MORNING...AND OVER THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 95W/96W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST
10 TO 15 KT. WARMING CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES AND DISSIPATING
PRECIPITATION ARE SOUTH OF 25N WEST OF 90W TO THE MEXICO
COAST. EVEN THE PRECIPITATION THAT WAS JUST SOUTH OF THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC HAS DISSIPATED.

...THE ITCZ...
ITCZ 8N12W 6N27W 6N30W 7N45W 6N49W 7N58W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER
SIDE OF 5N41W 6N49W 7N53W.

...DISCUSSION...
THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS ALONG THE WESTERN MEXICO COAST
FROM 20N NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA...INTO INTERIOR NORTHWESTERN MEXICO. THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN/CENTRAL AMERICA UPPER LEVEL RIDGE HAS BEGUN TO BUILD
MORE AND MORE TO THE NORTH...NOW COVERING THE WESTERN HALF OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO. UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY WIND FLOW AND
DRY AIR ARE EAST OF 90W AND MOVING TOWARD FLORIDA. THE FLOW
BECOMES DECIDEDLY CYCLONIC THANKS TO THE CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND
THE STRONG MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL 33N68W ATLANTIC OCEAN LOW
CENTER. THE PRECIPITATION FORMERLY IN THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER
OF THE AREA HAS BEEN DISSIPATING STEADILY WITH THE WARMING
CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
REALLY SPOTTY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA UNDER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA/CENTRAL AMERICA
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. A FEW SHOWERS ARE NORTH OF 17N AROUND
HISPANIOLA AND JAMAICA. ONE CELL OF THUNDERSTORMS IS IN
SOUTHWESTERN NICARAGUA...AND ONE IS IN SOUTHERN BELIZE/
EASTERN HONDURAS. THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA IS COVERED BY
A TROUGH WHICH ENTERS THE CARIBBEAN SEA FROM THE ATLANTIC OCEAN
ACROSS THE EASTERN PART OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...TO THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA...AND THEN INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN CORNER
OF THE AREA. MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DRY AIR IS WITHIN 120 NM ON
EITHER SIDE OF 20N66W 15N70W 13N78W. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
BRUSHES RIGHT UP AGAINST THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE CYCLONIC FLOW
AROUND THE TROUGH.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE ATLANTIC 33N68W
LOW CENTER TO THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
A SURFACE TROUGH RUNS FROM 28N68W TO 23N70W. THE 63W TROPICAL
WAVE IS MOVING UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WHICH IS IMMEDIATELY
EAST OF THE 33N68W-T0-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TROUGH. UPPER LEVEL
CLOUDS FROM THIS RIDGE ARE BEING SPREAD FROM 20N60W IN AN
ANTICYCLONIC CURVE TO 20N40W. SPOTTY SHOWERS ARE FOUND IN THE
ATLANTIC WATERS NORTH OF 20N BETWEEN 60W AND 80W...MOSTLY
FROM 22N TO 30N BETWEEN 60W AND 74W. A WEAKENING MIDDLE TO UPPER
LEVEL LOW CENTER IS NEAR 29N41W. A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
PASSES THROUGH 36N29W TO 30N29W. BROAD UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC
FLOW COVERS THE ATLANTIC WATERS NORTH OF 30N BETWEEN THE 36N29W
30N29W TROUGH AND THE 33N68W LOW CENTER. AN EASTERN ATLANTIC
OCEAN TROUGH PASSES THROUGH THE AREA IN BETWEEN THE COAST OF
MOROCCO AND THE MADEIRA ISLANDS...TO THE CANARY ISLANDS...TO THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL DRY AIR IS IN THE
TROPICAL ATLANTIC WATERS FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 20W AND 40W.

$$
MT

[gatorcane]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 291508
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT THU JUN 29 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A TROPICAL WAVE...INTERACTING WITH A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH...IS
PRODUCING DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTENDING FROM THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES...AND NORTHWARD
INTO THE ATLANTIC FOR A FEW HUNDRED MILES. THESE SHOWERS SHOULD
SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLA TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY. STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PROHIBIT
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

THE SHOWER ACTIVITY BETWEEN BERMUDA AND PUERTO RICO HAS DIMINISHED.

TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/KNABB

[cycloneye]

AXNT20 KNHC 291750
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT THU JUN 29 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHEASTERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1715 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 31W SOUTH OF 10N MOVING WEST AROUND 15
KT. NO PRECIPITATION IS DIRECTLY RELATED JUST TO THIS WAVE. ITCZ
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FOUND FROM 3N TO 6N BETWEEN 28W
AND 33W.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 47W/48W SOUTH OF 10N MOVING WEST 10 TO
15 KT. NO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE DIRECTLY RELATED JUST TO
THIS WAVE.

A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE IS ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN ALONG 65W/66W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 15 TO
20 KT. THIS WAVE IS INTERACTING WITH A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH... PRODUCING DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS THAT
EXTEND FROM THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...ACROSS THE LESSER
ANTILLES...AND NORTHWARD INTO THE ATLANTIC FOR A FEW HUNDRED
MILES. THESE SHOWER/TSTM ACTIVITY SHOULD SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS
OF PUERTO RICO AND HISPANIOLA FOR THE REST OF TODAY AND FRIDAY.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH TO PROHIBIT ANY
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. THE SAN JUAN DOPPLER RADAR IS SHOWING SHOWERS
WITH EMBEDDED TSTMS MOVING ACROSS THESE ISLANDS UNDER A SE WIND
FLOW. BRIEF PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY
WINDS...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WILL BE POSSIBLE.
THERE IS A RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES. ST. THOMAS AND
ST. CROIX ARE REPORTING GUSTY WINDS UP TO 22 KT.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 96W SOUTH OF 20N MOVING WEST 10 TO 15
KT. THE NORTHERN END OF THE WAVE IS GENERATING A CLUSTER OF
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE
VERY CLOSE TO VERACRUZ...WHERE 1.56 INCHES OF RAIN FELL DURING
THE LAST 24 HOURS.

...THE ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 7N14W 3N25W 7N35W 3N45W 5N53W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 80/100
NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS WEST OF 40W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS
SEEN FROM 6N-10N EAST OF 20W.

...DISCUSSION...
THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A CUT-OFF LOW IS OVER NE MEXICO WHILE AN UPPER RIDGE FROM AN
UPPER HIGH ANCHORED OVER CENTRAL AMERICA DOMINATES THE ENTIRE
GULF. ABUNDANT UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE COVERS THE AREA WEST OF 90W.
AT THE SURFACE...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS KEEPING RATHER QUIET
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE GULF WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE SW QUADRANT
WHERE THERE ARE MODERATE/STRONG SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED TSTMS
THANKS TO THE PRESENCE OF A TROPICAL WAVE. A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE MAINLY WWD ALONG 28N90W TO
THE TEXAS COAST. ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEHIND THE
SURFACE TROUGH WEST OF 90W. WEAK RIDGE WILL BUILD WESTWARD
ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
BROAD UPPER RIDGE COVERS THE W CARIBBEAN...CENTRAL AMERICA AND
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM AN UPPER HIGH LOCATED OVER NICARAGUA
NEAR 12N85W. THE RIDGE ALSO EXTENDS NWD ACROSS THE GULF. A
MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH FROM THE W ATLC ENTERS THE CARIBBEAN
ACROSS HISPANIOLA. THIS TROUGH IS INTERACTING WITH THE TROPICAL
WAVE CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. TROPICAL
MOISTURE IS BEING ADVECTED OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE NW
CARIBBEAN...ENHANCING SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION OVER EASTERN NICARAGUA...NE HONDURAS AND THE GULF OF
HONDURAS. PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE ATLC HIGH AND THE
COLOMBIAN LOW IS STILL PRODUCING STRONG TRADE WINDS OFF THE
COLOMBIAN COAST. A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THAT AREA.
ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES IS
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN ON SATURDAY.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...
THE SHOWER ACTIVITY BETWEEN BERMUDA AND PUERTO RICO HAS
DIMINISHED. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH
THAT EXTENDS FROM 31N66W TO 21N69W AND AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
THAT LIES ALONG 71W/72W ENTERING THE CARIBBEAN SEA ACROSS
HISPANIOLA. A LARGE UPPER HIGH IN THE TROPICAL ATLC IS LOCATED
NEAR 13N45W WITH AN UPPER RIDGE COVERING MOST OF THE TROPICS.
THE REMAINDER OF THE E ATLC N OF 20N IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
AN UPPER TROUGH. AT THE SURFACE...BROAD HIGH PRESSURE COVERS
MOST OF THE ATLC ANCHORED BY 1034 MB HIGH LOCATED MIDWAY BETWEEN
THE AZORES AND BERMUDA. PATCHES OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS ARE ACROSS
THE OCEAN N OF 20N AND EAST OF 50W. ACCORDING TO THE 28/1500 UTC
CIMSS SAHARAN AIR LAYER AND VIS SATELLITE IMAGERY A BROAD AREA
OF AFRICAN DUST IS SPREADING WWD AND CURRENTLY REACHES 55W.

$$
GR

[cycloneye]

ABNT20 KNHC 292114
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT THU JUN 29 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A SMALL AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS DEVELOPED IN THE BAY
OF CAMPECHE THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE PRESSURES IN THE AREA ARE HIGH
AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES ARE ASSOCIATED
WITH A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[southerngale]

The latest TWO and TWD can be found from any page on Storm2k by simply clicking on TWO or TWD at the top of the page. As a result, this thread really isn't needed and I'm assuming the member who started the thread just hadn't noticed it up there.

So there's no need to post them in here anymore since everyone who comes to this thread now knows where to find them up there.

[gatorcane]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 300210
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT THU JUN 29 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. THIS
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO...BUT SURFACE PRESSURES IN THE AREA REMAIN HIGH AND
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE PRESENTLY UNFAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES ARE ASSOCIATED
WITH A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH.
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[CHRISTY]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 300512
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT FRI JUN 30 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHEASTERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0445 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 35W S OF 10N MOVING W 15-20 KT. WEAK
LOW-AMPLITUDE WAVE WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION WITHIN THE ITCZ.

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 52W S OF 11N MOVING W 15-20 KT. WEAK
LOW-AMPLITUDE WAVE WITH SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THE ITCZ.

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN IS ALONG 70W S OF 18N MOVING W
15-20 KT. WAVE IS ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF AN UPPER TROUGH OVER
THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN AND IS MOVING INTO DRIER AIR. AS
SUCH...THERE IS NO ASSOCIATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION.

...THE ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 11N15W 5N26W 6N46W 7N60W. CLUSTERS
OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE FROM 3N-10N
BETWEEN 33W-46W. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 120 NM OF
THE AXIS FROM 19W-30W AND SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 200 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 50W-60W.

...DISCUSSION...
GULF OF MEXICO...
UPPER TROUGH IS OVER MEXICO WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIPPING SE
INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING FROM AN UPPER
HIGH OVER CENTRAL AMERICA COVERS THE GULF WITH THE AXIS ALONG
87W. THIS COMBINATION IS GENERATING AN AREA OF SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION OVER THE SW GULF S OF 23N W
OF 89W TO INLAND OVER MEXICO AND NW YUCATAN. AT THE SURFACE...A
RIDGE COVERS THE GULF WITH A 1020 MB HIGH INLAND OVER N
MISSISSIPPI AND A DEVELOPING SURFACE HIGH OVER THE NE GULF.
ALTHOUGH HIGH CLOUDS COVER MOST OF THE GULF...THE REMAINDER OF
THE GULF REMAINS RELATIVELY SHOWER FREE.

CARIBBEAN SEA...
UPPER RIDGE OVER THE W CARIBBEAN EXTENDS FROM AN UPPER HIGH OVER
CENTRAL AMERICA NEAR 14N87W AND COVERS THE AREA W OF 80W. UPPER
TROUGH OVER THE W ATLC EXTENDS S OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
COVERING THE AREA N OF 14N FROM 65W-80W. THIS AREA IS FAIRLY DRY
WITH ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS MOVING OFF THE S COAST OF CUBA. BROAD
UPPER RIDGE OVER THE E CARIBBEAN ANCHORED IN THE W TROPICAL ATLC
IS INTERACTING WITH THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL ATLC TO
GENERATE AN AREA OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG
CONVECTION PRIMARILY OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES BETWEEN 59W-65W.
THIS AREA OF CONVECTION WAS PREVIOUSLY TIED TO THE TROPICAL WAVE
THAT HAS SINCE MOVED INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. AT THE
SURFACE...STRONG SURFACE TRADEWINDS DOMINATE THE ENTIRE
CARIBBEAN SEA WITH GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE COAST OF COLOMBIA.


ATLANTIC OCEAN...
THE UPPER LOW THAT WAS OVER BERMUDA HAS BECOME WEAK ELONGATED
NOW EXTENDING THROUGH 33N64W SE TO NEAR 28N63W AND MOVING
NORTHWARD. THE REMAINDER OF THIS UPPER TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE W
ATLC EXTENDING NOW FROM 27N71W INTO THE CARIBBEAN ACROSS
CUBA/HISPANIOLA NEAR THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. A SURFACE TROUGH
REFLECTION EXTENDS FROM 27N64W S TO NEAR 20N69W. SCATTERED
MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120/150 NM EITHER
SIDE OF THE SURFACE TROUGH FROM 20N-26N. BROAD UPPER HIGH IS
OVER THE W TROPICAL ATLC CENTERED NEAR 15N54W COVERING THE
CENTRAL ATLC S OF 26N FROM 35W-63W. DIFFLUENCE TO THE W IS
ENHANCING THE SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED CONVECTION S OF 21N TO
INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA BETWEEN 59W-64W INCLUDING THE LESSER
ANTILLES. A VERY LARGE UPPER HIGH DOMINATES THE CENTRAL ATLC
MAINLY N OF THE REGION DIPPING S TO 27N FROM 35W-59W. AN UPPER
RIDGE EXTENDS OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA NEAR 13N16W EXTENDING W TO
30W AND COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE ATLC. AT THE SURFACE...A
BROAD RIDGE COVERS THE ATLC N OF 10N E OF 60W ANCHORED BY A 1032
MB HIGH N OF THE REGION.

$$
WALLACE

[southerngale]

I didn't think I needed to lock this thread, but maybe I do. Did you two see the post I made just above yours?

[wxmann_91]

I didn't think I needed to lock this thread, but maybe I do. Did you two see the post I made just above yours?

I would think this would be an archive thread, one that could be digged up in the future if somebody needs to use it for a case study.