Blob off the Carolina's =Invest 90L

Stormavoider · #1 Postby **Stormavoider** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 6:24 am

Looks like rotation on the northern edge of the convection.

#2 Postby **NDG** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 6:40 am

And pressures are down to at least 1011 MB in that area. Hmmm. But its getting some strong northerly shear, keeping the convection south of what appears to be a circulation trying to get going.

Stormavoider · #3 Postby **Stormavoider** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 6:44 am

41025 N wind
41001 S Wind
41002 WNW wind

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/maps/Southeast.shtml

Thunder44 · #4 Postby **Thunder44** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:14 am

You can clearly see a broad LLC north of all the convection on visible imagery this morning:

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

#5 Postby **NDG** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:17 am

Thunder44 wrote:You can clearly see a broad LLC north of all the convection on visible imagery this morning:

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

Wow, you can also see the THICK HAZE over NC and the mid Atlantic States.

Patrick99 · #6 Postby **Patrick99** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:21 am

Thick haze over S. FL too. There is a layer of fine African dust on my car. hehe

Thunder44 · #7 Postby **Thunder44** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:26 am

QS this morning shows a closed surface circulation with one barb show winds close to 40kts well south from the center. Although I wonder if this is a warm-core system.

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/dat ... MBas19.png

#8 Postby **NDG** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:43 am

Patrick99 wrote:Thick haze over S. FL too. There is a layer of fine African dust on my car. hehe

Yeah, I've been looking at what appears to be African Dust coming into Central & S FL from the east over the last couple of days through the Vis sat pics. But our haze is nothing compared to up north, where visibility this morning in many parts of the Mic Atlantic are only between 2-5 miles this morning.

WindRunner · #9 Postby **WindRunner** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:46 am

GFS develops a warm-core low in the vicinity at 12Z today (per 06Z run), and the NAM develops a warm-core low in a location similar to Beryl's start at 06Z today (per 00Z run), and the FSU MM5 is similar to the NAM, exceptly slightly further north and running along the warm side of the cold-core/warm-core line. But this is just from the cyclone phase evolution outputs, which we all know aren't the most perfect of outputs.

ThunderMate · #10 Postby **ThunderMate** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:49 am

Where are the models taking it?? Beryl type path?

#11 Postby **NDG** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:54 am

Looking at the steering forecast, I see it going offshore ESE then making a loop southward and coming back to SE US from FL to SC later on this week, if it survives the shear.

#12 Postby **brunota2003** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:56 am

Blob off Carolinas = Invest 90L...look at the new thread for it and it has the Navy link

Blob off the Carolina's =Invest 90L

Blob off the Carolina's =Invest 90L

Who is online