any chance #7 goes much west?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Josephine96

any chance #7 goes much west?

#1 Postby Josephine96 » Mon Sep 11, 2006 8:50 am

Chances I'm sure are there.. either it will or it won't :wink:

But, with him already formed around 55W.. is it possible, especially because he's just crawling along that keeps drudging west instead of a slow turn to the north in about 72..
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23693
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#2 Postby gatorcane » Mon Sep 11, 2006 8:51 am

I already see a NW movement today....of course with weak steering currents maybe some wobbling going on.....

I think the chances are about 5% based on my research and a 95% chance or recurvature.
0 likes   

User avatar
Buck
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1175
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:04 pm
Location: Atlanta, GA

#3 Postby Buck » Mon Sep 11, 2006 8:52 am

0 likes   

Josephine96

#4 Postby Josephine96 » Mon Sep 11, 2006 8:55 am

Ok.. :lol: I didn't ask if it was going into the GOM.. and odds are btw.. I think it may be just a wobble if he's only moving 5-6 mph..
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23693
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#5 Postby gatorcane » Mon Sep 11, 2006 8:58 am

one thing to look at, for any chance of it going west is if the weakness gets "filled in." If you look at thi water vapor loop there is a ridge near Florida that is actually building east and there is the big sub-tropical ridge NE of our system.

I'm really curious to see what gets left behind as Florence exits. Does the ridge to the west continue to fill in? Does that subtropical ridge move back to the west? If the answers are yes then this system will just meander WNW and the curve back west.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/loop-wv.html
0 likes   

Josephine96

#6 Postby Josephine96 » Mon Sep 11, 2006 9:02 am

It'll be interesting to watch it.. Btw Gator.. how did the Golden Knights taste on Saturday night? :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23693
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#7 Postby gatorcane » Mon Sep 11, 2006 9:05 am

Josephine96 wrote:It'll be interesting to watch it.. Btw Gator.. how did the Golden Knights taste on Saturday night? :lol:


not as good as the Vols will taste as we should go into Tennessee and put an end to their season this Sat.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146156
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#8 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 11, 2006 9:06 am

Sports has a forum so go there if you are going to talk about football.

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewforum.php?f=17
0 likes   

Josephine96

#9 Postby Josephine96 » Mon Sep 11, 2006 9:15 am

LOL.. Ok Luis.. sorry..
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: jlauderdal, REDHurricane and 42 guests