Possible Low Central Atlantic?

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Anthonyl
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Possible Low Central Atlantic?

#1 Postby Anthonyl » Sun Oct 08, 2006 2:09 pm

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... BW_sm3.gif

According to the above link NCH forcast a possible low forming around the area of 50W in 72 and moving WNW into the central islands. Can this senario be corroborated.
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knotimpaired
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#2 Postby knotimpaired » Sun Oct 08, 2006 5:50 pm

Cycloneye will be the one that can if there is something brewing.

He is our eyes down here in the islands.
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 08, 2006 6:01 pm

Water Vapor Image

All you have to do is look at the water vapor image and see big trough there not making things favorable in part of the basin.
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OURAGAN
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#4 Postby OURAGAN » Sun Oct 08, 2006 6:30 pm

Shear is decreasing somewhat, between 40 and 62W for the fisrt time since a week
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#5 Postby OURAGAN » Sun Oct 08, 2006 6:31 pm

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... wg8sht.GIF
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#6 Postby ts_kakolina » Mon Oct 09, 2006 3:40 am

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1059 PM AST SUN OCT 8 2006

... NEXT LARGE TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING 50 WEST TONIGHT WAS A HUGE WAVE ACROSS CENTRAL AFRICA...AND GFS IS DEPICTING 3 SEPARATE VORT CENTERS WITH THIS WAVE...SUGGESTING A
COMPLEX STRUCTURE. THIS WAVE WILL MOVE MORE WNW THEN NW INTO THE LOCAL AREA BY WEDNESDAY AND IS FORECAST TO INTERACT FAVORABLY WITH AN UPPER TROF JUST TO OUR NW FOR VERY ACTIVE WEATHER. WILL HAVE TO FINE TUNE FORECAST AS THIS EVOLVES. INTERESTINGLY...QUIKSCAT AMBIGUITIES FROM EVENING PASS HINT AT A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW OR CYCLONIC CURL INVOF 11N 48.75W IN AN AREA OF PULSING DEEP CONVECTION AND WEAKENING UPPER SHEAR. UPPER ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS NOT FORECAST TO BE EXTREMELY FAVORABLE FOR ANY TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT...BUT CONDITIONS MAY NOT BE HOSTILE EITHER. GLOBAL MODELS DO NOTHING WITH THIS WAVE.
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