Texas Low Pressure......Jeff Masters

[KatDaddy]

Just curious what models show low pressure system forming off TX Coast.
It will be non-tropical but could create gusty winds and heavy rain.

Elsewhere in the tropics
A low pressure system a few hundred miles off the coast of North Carolina is non-tropical, and is not expected to become tropical as it moves northeast parallel to the coast. This system could bring heavy rain to Cape Cod and the Maritime provinces of Canada later this week. Some of the models are hinting that a low pressure system could form in the Gulf of Mexico off the Texas coast early next week. If this storm forms, it could be non-tropical. The models are also forecasting the possibility of a hurricane forming along the Mexican Pacific coast early next week, and moving parallel to the coast towards Baja. However, the two current storms approaching Baja, Tropical Depression 16E and Tropical Storm Norman, are both expected to dissipate before reaching Baja, due to high wind shear and cool waters.

Jeff Masters

[wxman57]

What the models had been forecasting was what is called a "west Gulf low", a low that forms on a cold front generally from late autumn through mid spring. But later model data (today) indicate that the system that would develop the low will be delayed until Monday, and the front will move back north across southeast Texas on Sunday morning as a warm front. This takes the baroclinic zone (front) out of the Gulf and removes the possibility of a west Gulf low forming.

[KatDaddy]

I am trying to figure it out also. I posted what Jeff Master stated.

[KatDaddy]

Wow. Its tough to read, comprehend, and type when you have 2 year old in your lap........time is borrowed. Excuse my post Wxman and thanks for your input. Please disregard my last post.