If this is El Nino why no rain in S FL

[DESTRUCTION5]

Elnino type rain don't usually affect SFL till Dec-Feb....they last for days...Cool and Dreary..

[MGC]

El Nino typically bring a wet winter to the deep south. October, Mississippi's dryist month has been anything but dry. Last week alone I had over 5" of rain at the house. I'm not complaining as we have been very dry here since Katrina.....MGC

[hial2]

Didn't the "Storm of the Century" hit in early 1993,after an El Nino-weak 1992 hurricane season ?(except for little hurricane A)..

[AussieMark]

early 1993 was when the 1993 el nino event formed.

from January 1991 - April 1995

ENSO was either El Nino or warm neutral

[hial2]

early 1993 was when the 1993 el nino event formed.

I thought the 1992 Atlantic season was capped by the El Nino phenomenom..What was the reason for the lackluster, except for Andrew, Atlantic 1992 hurricane season?..Tnanks for the info!

[AussieMark]

I just meant that was when the 1993 event started

during the early 90s

the pattern had continuous flips between El Nino and warm neutral

i.e

1991: January - April (warm neutral)
May 1991 - June 1992 (el nino)
rest of 1992 was around neutral

1993
March - July (el nino)
August 1993 - March 1994 (warm neutral)

1994
April 1994 - March 1995

as u know when one enso state ends conditions don't just suddenly change. it takes a while for them to evolve.

look at this years US summer. which was indicative of a La Nina despite the ssts at the time across Equatorial pacific at the time showing something closer to neutral or warm neutral

[Sanibel]

I think they said Nino creates a wet "winter" in Florida. We are still in early fall.

[AussieMark]

here are some stats on how el nino is effecting us
these are as of 9am October 26.

brackets are October normals

25mm = 1 inch (not many areas have seen that this october tho)

Brisbane: 9.0mm (94.4mm)
Sydney: 17.2mm (76.9mm)
Sydney Western Suburbs: 12.8mm (64.1mm)
Canberra: 3.8mm (64.4mm)
Melbourne: 3.6mm (67.4mm)
Hobart: 22.2mm (48.2mm)
Adelaide: 1.0mm (48.5mm)
Perth: 22.6mm (45.9mm)

[johnq1954]

The east coast and central Florida are the driest areas at the moment:

http://flame.fl-dof.com/fire_weather/KBDI/index.html

[gatorcane]

Still no rain. I hope El Nino kicks in soon my lake dropped about a foot in the last month.

It rained *alot* this summer. I am enjoying cool fall days with highs in the 70s and low humidity. Why do we all like South Florida so much. Now for the next 6 months is the reason!!!

[AussieMark]

the recording month of October is over now

here is rainfall across australia expressed as a % of normal

October
Perth: 53.59%
Adelaide: 2.06%
Hobart: 51.76%
Melbourne: 13.35%
Canberra: 5.90%
Sydney: 22.37%
Brisbane: 9.53%

September
Perth: 90.68%
Adelaide: 49.69%
Hobart: 83.59%
Melbourne: 61.67%
Canberra: 34.91%
Sydney: 279.48%
Brisbane: 107.16%

Spring so far is
Perth: 76.23%
Adelaide: 29.08%
Hobart: 66.26%
Melbourne: 35.84%
Canberra: 18.96%
Sydney: 143.68%
Brisbane: 35.89%

[AussieMark]

here is a graphic for October


August-october


May-October

[wxmann_91]

Please keep in mind that just because there's an El Nino doesn't mean there will be rain. El Nino alters the pattern so that S. Fl usually gets more rain. Remember that ENSO is just a SSTA in the equatorial Pacific and really wouldn't mean anything if it did not influence global weather patterns which brings anomalously high rainfall amouonts to the deep south.

[Sanibel]

Sanibel Island: Normal October rainfall - 2.79


2006 - .89

[flashflood]

Still no rain. I hope El Nino kicks in soon my lake dropped about a foot in the last month.

It rained *alot* this summer. I am enjoying cool fall days with highs in the 70s and low humidity. Why do we all like South Florida so much. Now for the next 6 months is the reason!!!

It rained "*alot*" at my house this summer as well. I recorded the most "rainy season" rain fall totals since 1995. Also, we did not even water our lawn for 4 months this summer. The lingering east coast trough really helped to make up the rain fall totals above normal for my area this year.