South Pacific Ocean: Invest 96P

[HURAKAN]

[HURAKAN]

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Mar 08/2322 UTC 2007 UTC.

TROPICAL LOW [1002HPA] CENTRE LOCATED NEAR 20.5S 168.5W AT 082100
UTC.POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT VISHR/IR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST AT 15 KNOTS BUT
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN SOUTHEAST. SST AROUND 29 DEGREE CELCIUS.


SYSTEM LIES TO THE WEST UNDERNEATH A UPPER DIFFLUENT REGION IN A
MODERATE TO STRONG SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. CONVECTION HAS SLIGHTLY
INCREASED FOR THE LAST 12 HOURS DUE TO DIURNAL VARIATION, WITH DEEP
CONVECTION TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. ORGANISATION IS POOR. MOST
GLOBAL MODELS [ECWMF,GASP,GFS,NOGAPS] SHOWS MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM
TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST. POTENTIAL FOR THE SYSTEM TO DEVEPLO INTO A
TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS IS LOW.

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA.

[HURAKAN]

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Mar 09/0935 UTC 2007 UTC.

TROPICAL LOW [1001HPA] CENTRE LOCATED NEAR 21.0S 167.8W AT 090600
UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT HRIR IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS
BUT EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN SOUTHEAST. SST AROUND 29 DEGREE
CELCIUS.

SYSTEM LIES UNDER AN UPPER DIFFLUENT REGION IN A MODERATE TO STRONG
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED FOR THE LAST 12
HOURS DUE TO DIURNAL VARIATION, WITH DEEP CONVECTION TO THE EAST OF
THE SYSTEM. ORGANISATION IS FAIR. MOST GLOBAL MODELS
[ECWMF,GASP,GFS,NOGAPS] SHOWS MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM TOWARDS THE
SOUTHEAST. POTENTIAL FOR THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL
CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS IS LOW TO MODERATE.

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA.

[HURAKAN]

[P.K.]

Have I missed something or are Nadi now calling these tropical lows instead of tropical disturbances? They also called ex-Odette a TL as well.

[HURAKAN]