Revenge of: What # hurricane would you ride out?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
DanKellFla
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1291
Joined: Fri Mar 17, 2006 12:02 pm
Location: Lake Worth, Florida

Revenge of: What # hurricane would you ride out?

#1 Postby DanKellFla » Wed Apr 11, 2007 8:23 pm

I shoulda been in the movies...

I didn't want to get too off topic, so I decided to start a new thread.

wxman57 wrote:There seems to be a bit of confusion with the original question. It asks when the last tme your area experienced Cat 3+ wind conditions, not whether you've been on the fringes of a Cat 3 hurricane. Very few inland locations have ever seen true 111+ mph 1-minute sustained wind, even with a Cat 3 making landfall. Frictional effects reduce the wind speeds to below Cat 3 almost immediately upon landfall, so only some beach areas might see spotty Cat 3 winds with a Cat 3-4 making landfall.


Now this is interesting. So, I am 5 miles inland. If there is a cat 4 hurricane headed my way, typically, by the time you reach 1 mile in-land, frictional effects will reduce the windspeed to something lower than a cat 3. Right? What is the dropoff for 5 miles inland?
I always wondered about this. Over the water I would think that the flow would be laminar. As soon as it hits land, it would become much more turbulant and create a much larger boundry layer... dozens of feet? I forget the calculation for that. This is the region where things become chaotic and difficult to quantify. Although, this turbulance can be one explanation for micro-bursts.
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#2 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Apr 11, 2007 8:36 pm

hard to say

Would need to know the terrain of your area, the size of the hurricane, the speed of the motion, the upper winds, and whether it was intensifying or weakening at landfall. All of thsoe would affect your winds, along with the foliage and construction
0 likes   

User avatar
docjoe
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 262
Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 10:42 pm
Location: SE Alabama..formerly the land of ivan and dennis

Re: Revenge of: What # hurricane would you ride out?

#3 Postby docjoe » Wed Apr 11, 2007 8:39 pm

DanKellFla wrote:I shoulda been in the movies...

I didn't want to get too off topic, so I decided to start a new thread.

wxman57 wrote:There seems to be a bit of confusion with the original question. It asks when the last tme your area experienced Cat 3+ wind conditions, not whether you've been on the fringes of a Cat 3 hurricane. Very few inland locations have ever seen true 111+ mph 1-minute sustained wind, even with a Cat 3 making landfall. Frictional effects reduce the wind speeds to below Cat 3 almost immediately upon landfall, so only some beach areas might see spotty Cat 3 winds with a Cat 3-4 making landfall.


Now this is interesting. So, I am 5 miles inland. If there is a cat 4 hurricane headed my way, typically, by the time you reach 1 mile in-land, frictional effects will reduce the windspeed to something lower than a cat 3. Right? What is the dropoff for 5 miles inland?
I always wondered about this. Over the water I would think that the flow would be laminar. As soon as it hits land, it would become much more turbulant and create a much larger boundry layer... dozens of feet? I forget the calculation for that. This is the region where things become chaotic and difficult to quantify. Although, this turbulance can be one explanation for micro-bursts.

I think local factors have to be considered. I am roughly 10 miles inland as the crow flies. However between my area and the Gulf exists a narrow barrier island(average 1/4 mile wide) Santa Rosa Sound, Gulf Breeze peninsula (roughly 1/2 mile to 1 mile in width) and then 2 large bays that extend roughly 10 miles inland. So between my area and the open Gulf lie two narrow peninsulas and the remainder is open water. I would guess this scenario would allow somewhat higher winds to reach farther inland than if there was just 10 miles of land between here and the gulf...course I have been wrong before :D

docjoe
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: abajan, ElectricStorm, johngaltfla, Keldeo1997, LAF92, ouragans, Pelicane, TampaWxLurker and 135 guests