Could Tampa Bay be the next New Orleans

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Rainband

#21 Postby Rainband » Thu Apr 12, 2007 7:13 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:
mf_dolphin wrote:The problem in Pinellas county isn't with the Emergency Management folks it's with the residents themselves. Typically there are way too many people that will not evacuate here and it's going to take a disaster to wake people up. Now that we had the near miss a couple of years ago I'm afraid it's going to get worse not better. Many people that did evacuate did so to Orlando and got nailed. The other problem Pinealls County has to face in teh evac routes. If you look up Pinellas county on Google Maps you'll see that 4 of the main evacuation routes are bridges. Due to the low approaches to these bridges they get closed when winds reach sustained TS force. The only real land route north out of the county is almost bumper to bumper on a normal day. To put it in a nut-shell, by the time they issue mandatory evacuations here there's not much chance of getting out.


Dolphin, you are so right. Even if everyone evacuated as mandated, it would be an unimaginable nightmare trying to move traffic. Some of the E routes are north up through our area and those roads are already jammed on a daily basis. Hurricane Elena is a good example -- and she didn't even come ashore!
Yikes don't say Elena. :lol: Nice to see you Dixie :D :D :D I agree Marshall, I think Charley will add to the complacency :( :( If not I will wait for you to pick up Tony and I in the Boat :lol: :lol: :eek:
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Cookiely
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#22 Postby Cookiely » Fri Apr 13, 2007 8:07 am

My main concern in Tampa and St. Pete are all the nursing homes and their individual evacuation plans. As a former health care worker, the idea is simply mind boggling. Can they evacuate all those people after a warning goes into effect?
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#23 Postby mf_dolphin » Fri Apr 13, 2007 8:57 am

The short answer is no, they can't evacuate everyone in the nursing homes to a place out of the county at least in Pinellas County. There's just ot enough time and/or routes to get it done. Starting a couple of years ago the message from Emergency Management changed from "evacuate in-land" to "evacuate to a safer place within the county". I think this is just being practical and reflects the reality of our situation here.
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#24 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Apr 13, 2007 9:49 am

What about the absolute worst-case - a Category 5 at the worst possible spot at high tide?
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