When will the first named storm of 2007 season form?

gtalum · #21 Postby **gtalum** » Thu Jan 25, 2007 11:02 am

Tomorrow.

#22 Postby **EDR1222** » Fri Jan 26, 2007 3:00 pm

I thought the season has already been cancelled 8-)

I am going to say late July.

#23 Postby **AnnularCane** » Fri Jan 26, 2007 3:29 pm

The season will be cancelled if we get through June 1 without at least a depression. So not yet.

I say late June.

#24 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Feb 28, 2007 6:55 pm

Bumped this poll for those members that are comming back and for the newbies,who haved not voted yet.

The Storm2k Official Forecast Poll will start on April 1 so get ready to participate in that poll.Let's see if the 2007 Poll can break the record of participation of the 2006 one of 181 members.

#25 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Thu Mar 29, 2007 12:38 pm

#26 Postby **Downdraft** » Thu Mar 29, 2007 12:54 pm

I'll go with the first week of July although I think anything that early will be a short lived depression or very weak tropical storm. El Nino is going to delay the start but despite gloom and doom predictions I think by September will have a lot to talk about.

#27 Postby **wxman57** » Thu Mar 29, 2007 3:41 pm

Could very easily be the 1st or 2nd week of August. I'd be perfectly happy if we don't even get a tropical wave with development potential until August.

Dynamic · #28 Postby **Dynamic** » Thu Mar 29, 2007 4:42 pm

I believe that we will have the first TS after June 15 and before June 30.

dwg71 · #29 Postby **dwg71** » Tue Apr 03, 2007 2:51 pm

Since 1960 (46 years) there have been only 3 named storms form prior to June. (not including subs) 24 years or about 1/2 the time there has been a storm before July. I really cant see a coorelation between early storms and active seasons. 2004 didnt see a named storm until August.

We are still much better at forecasting path of existing storms than we are at predicting season activity levels or intensity.

You can have everything in place and not have a storm.

#30 Postby **O Town** » Tue Apr 03, 2007 6:58 pm

Opal storm wrote:June 21-30 near the Yucatan.I'm sure folks will be waving the SEASON CANCEL flag as soon as June 2nd.

lol, I heard that.

I voted July 11-20.

#31 Postby **tgenius** » Mon Apr 09, 2007 6:55 am

No wonder I didn't see it, the last post was made a week ago. Can it be stickied? I say July 11th-20th.

HurricaneHunter914 · #32 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Mon Apr 09, 2007 7:08 am

I'm suprised with all these May votes! But then again, I'm one of them. :lol:

#33 Postby **OuterBanker** » Mon Apr 09, 2007 8:50 am

June 25. My usual dart averaging method. I take a June calendar and throw five darts and take the average of the five darts. But in truth I usually hit the calendar with one dart. It happened to be June 25.
I also never accept a dart challenge, I concede immediately. I also only use June, using multiple months causes too much damage.

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #34 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Mon Apr 09, 2007 3:52 pm

June 5-15th a tropical storm may form in the GOM with sufficient SSTs and possibly lesser shear...this happened in 05 and 06 with alberto and arlene. But maybe not, maybe in july.

HouTXmetro · #35 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Wed May 09, 2007 10:50 am

Congrats to All who picked May!!!!!!!

#36 Postby **angelwing** » Wed May 09, 2007 11:05 am

angelwing wrote:I'll be the first one to say May (yeah I know it's a longshot but someone has to pick it )

Wow, maybe I ought to play the lottery

#37 Postby **Trader Ron** » Wed May 09, 2007 11:35 am

Luis,

Now we need a poll. When will the first Hurricane form?

#38 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed May 09, 2007 11:38 am

The poll is now closed.May got 22 votes.

Janie2006 · #39 Postby **Janie2006** » Wed May 09, 2007 11:39 am

Janie2006 wrote:
brunota2003 wrote:July 1-10

Agreed.

I'll take my crow with tabasco sauce, please.

When will the first named storm of 2007 season form?

When will the first named storm form?

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