Noaa 2007 Hurricane Season May Forecast=13-17 named storms

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DanKellFla
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#21 Postby DanKellFla » Tue May 22, 2007 2:24 pm

My prediction is....
Up go the storm panels.. Down goes the storm panels.... up go the storm panels.... down go SOME of the storm panels.... etc...
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hial2
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#22 Postby hial2 » Tue May 22, 2007 2:29 pm

[quote="cycloneye" as where they will go is the most important thing.[/quote]


and that is the one thing that no human being one can predict....
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#23 Postby OuterBanker » Tue May 22, 2007 2:31 pm

ED1, tks for the mp3 link. Kudos many times on that site. It downloads a remarkable 165 kbs making a 38 mb file in less than two minutes.
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#24 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 22, 2007 6:13 pm

To hial2.That is correct.I dont know how a private firm (Hurricane Alley) goes ahead and make predictions about High Risk,Moderate Risk and Low Risk landfall areas way before the season starts. I say that from the Mexican/Texas border to Maine all are at risk every season,no matter how active is.
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ROCK
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#25 Postby ROCK » Tue May 22, 2007 6:13 pm

Impact Weather, an independant weather firm, came out with their predictions at a seminar I attended today. 14/9/4 with the NE at a elevated risk of landfall and the GOM a slightly elevated risk of a landfall. La Nina possible by August. We shall see how good they do.
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Ed1

#26 Postby Ed1 » Tue May 22, 2007 7:18 pm

OuterBanker wrote:ED1, tks for the mp3 link. Kudos many times on that site. It downloads a remarkable 165 kbs making a 38 mb file in less than two minutes.


Thank you all also. Great mix of people over here.

and thank you CyclonEye
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#27 Postby wobblehead » Tue May 22, 2007 7:56 pm

cycloneye wrote:To hial2.That is correct.I dont know how a private firm (Hurricane Alley) goes ahead and make predictions about High Risk,Moderate Risk and Low Risk landfall areas way before the season starts. I say that from the Mexican/Texas border to Maine all are at risk every season,no matter how active is.


My thoughts about coastal regions landfall risk predictions have always been that this is a disservice as it may promote a false sense of security. I see no value in it at all.
The private firm mentioned above explained on local tv that weather patterns that determine steering currents are set in place by February and that is why they forecast so early in the season. I'm not agreeing or disagreeing just relaying their explanation, as I understood it, to your question.
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#28 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Tue May 22, 2007 7:59 pm

You know, it doesent matter how much they predict, we all pretty much know its going to be a bad season when we already marked off andrea off the list and it shows signs of more threatning things to come, but to me i personally do not want to see 3-5 major hurricanes this year especially near the coast. and those track predictions they came out with, scares me, with me liveing on the SE coast with those long CV storms.
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