Barbara headed for BOC?

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dixiebreeze
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Barbara headed for BOC?

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Sun Jun 03, 2007 11:44 am

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/rb-l.jpg
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#2 Postby windstorm99 » Sun Jun 03, 2007 11:48 am

Windshear in the GOM is at 40-50kts.
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#3 Postby dixiebreeze » Sun Jun 03, 2007 11:49 am

It's not close to the GOM yet. It does appear to be fairly intact over land, however.
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#4 Postby windstorm99 » Sun Jun 03, 2007 11:50 am

dixiebreeze wrote:It's not close to the GOM yet. It does appear to be fairly intact over land, however.


Yea i was just looking at an IR loop.
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#5 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sun Jun 03, 2007 11:52 am

looks like it is holding together well...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t7/loop-avn.html

...might be a possibility.
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#6 Postby Swimdude » Sun Jun 03, 2007 11:53 am

Seems to be fairly intact, true... But there's two problems here... 1) It's over land in the first place. And it's not moving swiftly towards the BOC either. 2) Wind shear.

I don't see this situation going anywhere...
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#7 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Jun 03, 2007 12:01 pm

Some of the moisture may move into the GOM, but
with the shear I do not expect anything tropical.
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#8 Postby canetracker » Sun Jun 03, 2007 12:11 pm

The remnants of Barbara from the East Pacific will struggle slowly northward toward the Bay of Campeche over the next few days. Should it move over water again, the water temperatures are warm enough to support development in this area.
http://wwwa.accuweather.com/hurricane/basin-story.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=0&basin=atlantic

Above quote was taken from Accuweather.com. Personally, I believe it could get in the BOC, if it can stay together. It looks pretty bad right now.
Image
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#9 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Jun 03, 2007 12:18 pm

I haven't been following Barbara, for awhile but those cluster of thunderstorms you see on infrared, I don't believe are directly assoicated with system. The remmants of Barbara are further east with a weakening LLC near 16N and 92W.

Take a look at this visible loop and you see the LLC I'm talking about.
Also click on "Trop Fcst Pts", and you see the last forecast track from TPC:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t7/loop-vis.html
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Opal storm

#10 Postby Opal storm » Sun Jun 03, 2007 12:25 pm

I extremely doubt it, too many elements going against it. Sure the water is warm enough but that doesn't determine whether it develops or not, wind shear does. Shear looks somewhat favorable for the BOC for the next 72 hrs(link) but the rest of the Gulf is extremely unfavorable so it would not have anywhere to go IF it did reform in the BOC. Besides it hasn't even made it across MX yet, its moving like a snail.
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Coredesat

#11 Postby Coredesat » Sun Jun 03, 2007 1:41 pm

The LLC has completely dissipated and the convection is diminishing, so it's not going to go anywhere.

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