92E INVEST [NRL has 03E.NONAME]

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HURAKAN
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#21 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jun 10, 2007 8:00 pm

11/0000 UTC 15.0N 107.9W T1.0/1.0 92E -- East Pacific Ocean

Nothing new.
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#22 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jun 10, 2007 8:21 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:There is a new burst forming right over the LLC, if that grows in size in stays. I expect this to be upgraded by tomarrow morning.


Now that burst is decreasing in size and intensity. Let see if the morning brings a better picture!!!
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#23 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jun 11, 2007 4:42 am

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1000 PM PDT SUN JUN 10 2007

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 370 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO
MEXICO HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION TONIGHT AS IT MOVES
NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE
SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM IN THE NEXT
DAY OR SO. THEREAFTER...THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ENCOUNTER COOLER
WATERS AND MORE STABLE AIR...WHICH WOULD LIKELY INHIBIT TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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#24 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jun 11, 2007 5:53 am

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 AM PDT MON JUN 11 2007

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

A LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO
MEXICO IS MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM
STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IN THE NEXT
DAY OR SO BEFORE THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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#25 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jun 11, 2007 5:53 am

Image

There is still hope!!!
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#26 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jun 11, 2007 5:56 am

Image

Lets wait for visible to see how organized the system really is.
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#27 Postby Chacor » Mon Jun 11, 2007 6:16 am

Nice flare-up!
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#28 Postby Chacor » Mon Jun 11, 2007 8:53 am

Looks like we'll get TD 3E soon.

Image

11/1200 UTC 15.2N 110.7W T1.5/1.5 92E -- East Pacific Ocean
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#29 Postby Chacor » Mon Jun 11, 2007 9:25 am

QuikSCAT:

Image
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#30 Postby Chacor » Mon Jun 11, 2007 9:52 am

NRL is now carrying 03E.NONAME.
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#31 Postby Chacor » Mon Jun 11, 2007 10:09 am

000
WOPZ41 KNHC 111507
DSAEP
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM PDT MON JUN 11 2007

THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...CENTERED 465 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
MANZANILLO MEXICO...HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND HAS FORMED INTO
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. A SPECIAL ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION
THREE-E WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.

$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI
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#32 Postby AnnularCane » Mon Jun 11, 2007 10:12 am

Looks like he's feeling better this morning! :P Just gorgeous.
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#33 Postby Coredesat » Mon Jun 11, 2007 10:20 am

It developed at the last possible moment, too. There's stratocumulus already being entrained into the circulation:

Image
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#34 Postby JonathanBelles » Mon Jun 11, 2007 10:21 am

Its certainly looking better.
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#35 Postby Regit » Mon Jun 11, 2007 10:25 am

Since we have official word from the NHC, the new thread is started...

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 26#1555326
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