Still Watching Yucutan

[Stormcenter]

This is an excerpt from the NWS early morning discussion out of New Orleans, LA.
Could they be referring to what is down there right now off the coast of Honduras?


LONG TERM...
POP NUMBERS SHOULD LOWER FOR THE WEEKEND BUT WE WILL BEGIN TO SEE
A LARGE SURGE OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVING TOWARD THE AREA FROM
THE CARRIBEAN STARTING SUNDAY. THE SURGE WILL NOT REACH THE AREA
UNTIL TUE. THIS MOISTURE WILL BE INDUCED BY A TROPICAL WAVE FROM
THE SOUTH ALONG WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WILL QUICKLY MOVE
IN FROM THE NORTH. THE FRONT SHOULD DRASTICALLY SLOW AS IT REACHES
THE GULF COAST CAUSING THE FRONTAL AXIS TO BECOME A MAJOR FOCUS
FOR SH/TS AS THE DEEP MOISTURE FROM THE GULF INTERACTS WITH IT.

[SouthFloridawx]

This is the tropical wave that, I have been mentioning in my 93L dead thread.
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=95344

[Berwick Bay]

This is an excerpt from the NWS early morning discussion out of New Orleans, LA.
Could they be referring to what is down there right now off the coast of Honduras?


LONG TERM...
POP NUMBERS SHOULD LOWER FOR THE WEEKEND BUT WE WILL BEGIN TO SEE
A LARGE SURGE OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVING TOWARD THE AREA FROM
THE CARRIBEAN STARTING SUNDAY. THE SURGE WILL NOT REACH THE AREA
UNTIL TUE. THIS MOISTURE WILL BE INDUCED BY A TROPICAL WAVE FROM
THE SOUTH ALONG WITH A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WILL QUICKLY MOVE
IN FROM THE NORTH. THE FRONT SHOULD DRASTICALLY SLOW AS IT REACHES
THE GULF COAST CAUSING THE FRONTAL AXIS TO BECOME A MAJOR FOCUS
FOR SH/TS AS THE DEEP MOISTURE FROM THE GULF INTERACTS WITH IT.

I know that my June 13-16 forecast is a bust. But I do feel that this weather in the Carribean will move into the southern and then West Central Gulf. I would still keep my eye on 24N and 92W. Perhaps now around June 18-20. May have been about 5 days early with my forecast.