Possible subtropical system today(NE of Brumuda..short lived

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Aric Dunn
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Possible subtropical system today(NE of Brumuda..short lived

#1 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jul 11, 2007 12:47 pm

I just pulled the last few posts from the other thread figured it should be spereate







Aric Dunn wrote:i would pay more attention to the Low east of that area.. for possible sub tropical .. that looks fairly close .. already // wonder if NHC will say anything about it

Image



Aric Dunn wrote:remember this sub tropical storm last year..


formed in mid july
Image



In the post-season analysis, an additional tropical storm was identified to have formed out of an extratropical low produced by the same frontal boundary that spawned Tropical Storm Beryl in the Gulf Stream on July 17, south of Nantucket Island. It was briefly a tropical storm before becoming a remnant low on July 18 southeast of Nova Scotia. It crossed over Atlantic Canada with rain and wind, but no damage or fatalities were reported. Had it been discovered operationally, it would have been named Tropical Storm Beryl.[18] It dissipated northeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland.


Image



Aric Dunn wrote:
punkyg wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:i would pay more attention to the Low east of that area.. for possible sub tropical .. that looks fairly close .. already // wonder if NHC will say anything about it

Image
This low already
looks subtropical to me. I bet they are not gonna pay attention to it.



well if they dont .. thats ok i guess. but like last year. that overlooked it and had to do the whole post analysis thing..

i would say its very close to sub tropical ... if we see even the slightest bit more convection .. i would say it should be deemed a subtropical something either STD OR STS

but hey either way not really going to be a big deal .. it will just be a record keeping thing.

Last edited by Aric Dunn on Wed Jul 11, 2007 2:46 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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#2 Postby storms in NC » Wed Jul 11, 2007 1:28 pm

And where is this at? W- N
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chadtm80

#3 Postby chadtm80 » Wed Jul 11, 2007 1:40 pm

Removed the "off topic" posts.. Keep the discussion to the system please
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#4 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jul 11, 2007 1:45 pm

what posts? i did not see them



and its about 36 north and 58 west
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#5 Postby Cyclone1 » Wed Jul 11, 2007 1:48 pm

Roughly same time as 95L. It started as a naked swirl and convection built around the center in its last few hours. It met the qualifications for at least a TD, this may be upgraded in post analysis.
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Re:

#6 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jul 11, 2007 1:50 pm

Cyclone1 wrote:Roughly same time as 95L. It started as a naked swirl and convection built around the center in its last few hours. It met the qualifications for at least a TD, this may be upgraded in post analysis.

huh??/
i guess i missed .. some posts . .not sure what going on
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Re: Possible subtropical system (short lived??)

#7 Postby chadtm80 » Wed Jul 11, 2007 1:50 pm

Image
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#8 Postby NDG » Wed Jul 11, 2007 1:55 pm

That is a very interesting little system NE of Bermuda, too bad SST are only in the mid 70s.
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Re: Re:

#9 Postby Cyclone1 » Wed Jul 11, 2007 2:03 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:
Cyclone1 wrote:Roughly same time as 95L. It started as a naked swirl and convection built around the center in its last few hours. It met the qualifications for at least a TD, this may be upgraded in post analysis.

huh??/
i guess i missed .. some posts . .not sure what going on


OH! Wait, this storm is CURRENT?! I was talking about another possible low in June.
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Re: Re:

#10 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jul 11, 2007 2:40 pm

Cyclone1 wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:
Cyclone1 wrote:Roughly same time as 95L. It started as a naked swirl and convection built around the center in its last few hours. It met the qualifications for at least a TD, this may be upgraded in post analysis.

huh??/
i guess i missed .. some posts . .not sure what going on


OH! Wait, this storm is CURRENT?! I was talking about another possible low in June.



yeah its current..... !!! mid 70"s on the SSTS are plenty for a sub tropical system ,, and even epsilon in 05 was over 76 degree water.. this system .. all it needs is just a little bit more convection...
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Re:

#11 Postby miamicanes177 » Wed Jul 11, 2007 2:43 pm

chadtm80 wrote:Removed the "off topic" posts.. Keep the discussion to the system please
My post was not off topic. It was simply a reasoning as to why it might have been ignored by forecasters. He asked a question and I answered it.
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Re: Re:

#12 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jul 11, 2007 2:45 pm

miamicanes177 wrote:
chadtm80 wrote:Removed the "off topic" posts.. Keep the discussion to the system please
My post was not off topic. It was simply a reasoning as to why it might have been ignored by forecasters. He asked a question and I answered it.


i missed the whole thing never saw the posts ....

and there is a current system out there now!!
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chadtm80

Re: Re:

#13 Postby chadtm80 » Wed Jul 11, 2007 2:56 pm

miamicanes177 wrote:
chadtm80 wrote:Removed the "off topic" posts.. Keep the discussion to the system please
My post was not off topic. It was simply a reasoning as to why it might have been ignored by forecasters. He asked a question and I answered it.

Yes it was. Sorry
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