Dean to hit Louisiana? Opinions?

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aquebede
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Dean to hit Louisiana? Opinions?

#1 Postby aquebede » Fri Aug 17, 2007 11:52 am

I am an active hurricane/tropics watcher. I keep seeing these high and low pressures that could steer Dean more NW towards La. Although- computer models are not. What are yalls opinions?
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beachbum_al
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Re: Dean to hit Louisiana? Opinions?

#2 Postby beachbum_al » Fri Aug 17, 2007 11:56 am

At this present time I don't anyone knows where Dean is going. The safest thing to do is just watch and be prepare if you live along the Gulf Coast.
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tropicsgal05
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Re: Dean to hit Louisiana? Opinions?

#3 Postby tropicsgal05 » Fri Aug 17, 2007 1:24 pm

I did learn these storms have a mind of their own, learned this lesson from Opal 1995. I just hope wherever it goes everyone will be safe.
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Re: Dean to hit Louisiana? Opinions?

#4 Postby TSmith274 » Fri Aug 17, 2007 1:28 pm

aquebede wrote:I am an active hurricane/tropics watcher. I keep seeing these high and low pressures that could steer Dean more NW towards La. Although- computer models are not. What are yalls opinions?

The GFDL agrees with you.
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#5 Postby Rocketman » Fri Aug 17, 2007 2:54 pm

It's just too soon. Maybe by Sunday...

:)
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#6 Postby M_0331 » Fri Aug 17, 2007 2:57 pm

The rapid wind speed and future deepening in pressure should allow the storm to be ~bullist to taking the storm to any weakness. 'Stronger storms more poleward'. I think the west edge of Cuba will be more likely hit than Yac---. Since 'Hazel' and almost all EC storms go poleward when possible IMHO. I will not state which 'state' but U.S. is in it's path IMO. WV does not look good for a straight west run. I feel for gulf, I have been under the gun many times in Wilmington, NC to Charleston, SC over the years.
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Re: Dean to hit Louisiana? Opinions?

#7 Postby gotoman38 » Fri Aug 17, 2007 3:14 pm

aquebede wrote:I am an active hurricane/tropics watcher. I keep seeing these high and low pressures that could steer Dean more NW towards La. Although- computer models are not. What are yalls opinions?


You should check out the Active Storms Forum
viewforum.php?f=59

Specifically the models
viewtopic.php?f=59&t=96968
and analysis threads
viewtopic.php?f=59&t=96959

Time will tell - but the NW GOM looks to be in his crosshairs... good luck!
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