Miami Radar Loop

[Frank2]

It's seems like a broad circulation is forming south and east of South Florida this afternoon:

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

we'll see what happens...

[Sanibel]

'Saw that too but was reluctant to post. Looked too weak and possibly a synoptic eddy earlier. But over the Gulf Stream...

[gatorcane]

hmmm..

sometimes long range loops deceive. Be careful with them. But there does appear to be some kind of bending or something going on....

interesting...but doubtful something significant will form due to strong ULL winds.

[LaBreeze]

Where are those "bears" - aren't they supposed to be "watching?"

[gatorcane]

Frank I think you are seeing the top-end of the ULL circulation. The ULL is located a bit to the south in the Caribbean.

I don't think anything is forming.

[Aric Dunn]

umm that is the invest well was the invest

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/loop-rgb.html

[windstorm99]

Nothing going on here just some scattered rain showers which aren't even making all the way to the ground.Sunny skies is what i see across the area.

[Aric Dunn]

Nothing going on here just some scattered rain showers which aren't even making all the way to the ground.Sunny skies is what i see across the area.

.


TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 73W/74W S OF 30N MOVING W 15-20 KT. THIS
WAVE HAS SHOWED UP WELL IN RECENT QUIKSCAT AND ASCAT PASSES.
SATELLITE IMAGERY STILL SHOWS THAT THE FOCUS OF THE LOW LEVEL
TURNING IS JUST E OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS FROM 23N-27N BETWEEN
71W-78W. BAHAMAS METAR DATA TO THE S OF THIS TURNING ARE STILL
SHOWING LIGHT NE TO E WINDS...SO AM STILL NOT CONVINCED THERE IS
A CLOSED SURFACE LOW WITH THIS FEATURE. THE ASSOCIATED SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE A BIT LESS CONCENTRATED THAN THEY
WERE EARLY THIS MORNING...AND NOW EXTEND NE FROM WRN CUBA ACROSS
THE NW BAHAMAS AND INTO THE ATLC FOR A FEW HUNDRED NM. THE WAVE
IS EXPECTED TO BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION HAS ALSO PERSISTED WITH THE CARIBBEAN
PORTION OF THE WAVE BETWEEN 73W-77W. THIS SRN BRANCH OF THE WAVE
IS EXPECTED TO BRING MOISTURE/SHOWERS TO CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE
YUCATAN AS WE MOVE THROUGH THE SECOND PART OF THE WEEK.


there is a fairly clear circulation on satellite east of the bahamas its fairly stationary at the moment

just checked some obs from the bahamas but could not find any real sw or west winds.

upper environment would get better if the surface circ stayed in place and allowed the upper to move west .. but chances are still low for anything to form from the old invest ... but its still there so I will keep my eye on it

[windstorm99]

Nothing going on here just some scattered rain showers which aren't even making all the way to the ground.Sunny skies is what i see across the area.

.


TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 73W/74W S OF 30N MOVING W 15-20 KT. THIS
WAVE HAS SHOWED UP WELL IN RECENT QUIKSCAT AND ASCAT PASSES.
SATELLITE IMAGERY STILL SHOWS THAT THE FOCUS OF THE LOW LEVEL
TURNING IS JUST E OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS FROM 23N-27N BETWEEN
71W-78W. BAHAMAS METAR DATA TO THE S OF THIS TURNING ARE STILL
SHOWING LIGHT NE TO E WINDS...SO AM STILL NOT CONVINCED THERE IS
A CLOSED SURFACE LOW WITH THIS FEATURE. THE ASSOCIATED SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE A BIT LESS CONCENTRATED THAN THEY
WERE EARLY THIS MORNING...AND NOW EXTEND NE FROM WRN CUBA ACROSS
THE NW BAHAMAS AND INTO THE ATLC FOR A FEW HUNDRED NM. THE WAVE
IS EXPECTED TO BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION HAS ALSO PERSISTED WITH THE CARIBBEAN
PORTION OF THE WAVE BETWEEN 73W-77W. THIS SRN BRANCH OF THE WAVE
IS EXPECTED TO BRING MOISTURE/SHOWERS TO CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE
YUCATAN AS WE MOVE THROUGH THE SECOND PART OF THE WEEK.

THE WAVE
IS EXPECTED TO BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...No worries here just some rain.Thank dean for crushing 92L's developing chances.Atleast thats the way i see it.

[Aric Dunn]

Nothing going on here just some scattered rain showers which aren't even making all the way to the ground.Sunny skies is what i see across the area.

.


TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 73W/74W S OF 30N MOVING W 15-20 KT. THIS
WAVE HAS SHOWED UP WELL IN RECENT QUIKSCAT AND ASCAT PASSES.
SATELLITE IMAGERY STILL SHOWS THAT THE FOCUS OF THE LOW LEVEL
TURNING IS JUST E OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS FROM 23N-27N BETWEEN
71W-78W. BAHAMAS METAR DATA TO THE S OF THIS TURNING ARE STILL
SHOWING LIGHT NE TO E WINDS...SO AM STILL NOT CONVINCED THERE IS
A CLOSED SURFACE LOW WITH THIS FEATURE. THE ASSOCIATED SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE A BIT LESS CONCENTRATED THAN THEY
WERE EARLY THIS MORNING...AND NOW EXTEND NE FROM WRN CUBA ACROSS
THE NW BAHAMAS AND INTO THE ATLC FOR A FEW HUNDRED NM. THE WAVE
IS EXPECTED TO BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION HAS ALSO PERSISTED WITH THE CARIBBEAN
PORTION OF THE WAVE BETWEEN 73W-77W. THIS SRN BRANCH OF THE WAVE
IS EXPECTED TO BRING MOISTURE/SHOWERS TO CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE
YUCATAN AS WE MOVE THROUGH THE SECOND PART OF THE WEEK.

THE WAVE
IS EXPECTED TO BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...No worries here just some rain.Thank dean for crushing 92L's developing chances.Atleast thats the way i see it.

yeah .. check what I just wrote

the weak low and wave axis have slowed quite a bit ... and dont count it out yet as it moves into the gulf

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/loop-rgb.html they have the INVEST floater on the ssd site again