Tropical Storm Bill's "turn to the right"?

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ColdFront77

Tropical Storm Bill's "turn to the right"?

#1 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Jun 29, 2003 3:36 pm

The lastest 850mb theta-e data (from 12Z, 8:00 AM ET/7:00 AM CT) doesn't indicate a theta-e ridge toward Texas, Louisiana or anywhere for that matter, thus Tropical Storm Bill should at least slow down, become nearly staionary or even stall for a time, which indeed makes the turn to the right more interesting.

Forecast models are taking the center of "Bill" to the NE and then eventually E over the southeastern United States.
Last edited by ColdFront77 on Sun Jun 29, 2003 4:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Colin
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#2 Postby Colin » Sun Jun 29, 2003 4:09 pm

Thanks for this observation, Tom... very interesting. Bill will need to be watched very, very closely... any shift in the storm may be significant in determining whether predicted tracks/forecasts should be changed.
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Re: Tropical Storm Bill's "turn to the right"?

#3 Postby Toni - 574 » Sun Jun 29, 2003 4:21 pm

ColdFront77 wrote:The lastest 850mb theta-e data (from 12Z, 8:00 AM ET/7:00 AM CT doesn't indicate a theta-e ridge toward Texas, Louisiana or anywhere for that matter, thus Tropical Storm Bill should at least slow down, become nearly staionary or even stall for a time, which indeed makes the turn to the right more interesting.

Forecast models are taking the center of "Bill" to the NE and then eventually E over the southeastern United States.


Hey Coldfront, what models are you talking about ? And how far NE?
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ColdFront77

#4 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Jun 29, 2003 4:24 pm

Toni, They have been posted on the site today.
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Rainband

#5 Postby Rainband » Sun Jun 29, 2003 4:30 pm

ColdFront77 wrote:Toni, They have been posted on the site today.
Where BUD..I would like to see them :wink:
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ColdFront77

#6 Postby ColdFront77 » Sun Jun 29, 2003 4:40 pm

You're welcome, Colin.

Jonathan, Toni and those that are wondering what I'm talking about... These are the models I am referring to: http://www.wrel.com/modelmap.htm
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Rainband

#7 Postby Rainband » Sun Jun 29, 2003 4:56 pm

Thanks..I think it's funny how the models keep shifting east..now my area is even in the 5% catagory...I guess they are covering their butts :roll: :lol:
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#8 Postby Toni - 574 » Sun Jun 29, 2003 5:19 pm

Thanks Coldfront for the info.

Hey Rainband how'd ya like that little storm we had last night. Hope all got thru safe!
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Rainband

#9 Postby Rainband » Sun Jun 29, 2003 5:22 pm

Toni - 574 wrote:Thanks Coldfront for the info.

Hey Rainband how'd ya like that little storm we had last night. Hope all got thru safe!
Yes but my house is not so lucky the roof in the laundry room is done for lol..Too much rain!!!!!
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#10 Postby Toni - 574 » Sun Jun 29, 2003 5:45 pm

Rainband wrote:
Toni - 574 wrote:Thanks Coldfront for the info.

Hey Rainband how'd ya like that little storm we had last night. Hope all got thru safe!
Yes but my house is not so lucky the roof in the laundry room is done for lol..Too much rain!!!!!


Well Rainband, just thank God that it is only the laundry room, it could be worse. I need to put up a whole new roof real soon. I hope and pray that I can make it thru this season without any problems.

Can you patch that area to get you thru?
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#11 Postby wx247 » Sun Jun 29, 2003 5:47 pm

Sorry to hear about your roof Johnathan. Good thing a lot of this heavy rain will be west and north of you.
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Rainband

#12 Postby Rainband » Sun Jun 29, 2003 5:58 pm

wx247 wrote:Sorry to hear about your roof Johnathan. Good thing a lot of this heavy rain will be west and north of you.
Yes it is thanks :D Toni it was the ceiling and the roof has a leak..sorry..I realized what I posted but was too lazy to edit :lol:
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