Convection in the SE Caribbean

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Evil Jeremy
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Convection in the SE Caribbean

#1 Postby Evil Jeremy » Wed Dec 12, 2007 8:59 am

Isn't this the same way that Olga started? As a bunch of convection in the SE Caribbean? It's down on the corner of the loop. What does it mean?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html
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Re: Convection in the SE Caribbean

#2 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Dec 12, 2007 10:10 am

Evil Jeremy wrote:Isn't this the same way that Olga started? As a bunch of convection in the SE Caribbean? It's down on the corner of the loop. What does it mean?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html


That's quite a low latitude though...
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#3 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Dec 12, 2007 10:19 am

Olga started as a subtropical trough of low pressure, not just an area of convection. Now, I know we have Olga still alive (well, barely), but it's December, and we should be thinking of Christmas and the coming New Year. Tropically speaking in the Atlantic it's time to let go.
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Re:

#4 Postby Chacor » Wed Dec 12, 2007 10:47 am

HURAKAN wrote:it's time to let go.


Unfortunately some people (they know who they are) just can't seem to, wanting to pounce on every little shred.
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#5 Postby Evil Jeremy » Wed Dec 12, 2007 11:28 am

I'm one of those people lol.
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Re: Convection in the SE Caribbean

#6 Postby Sanibel » Wed Dec 12, 2007 12:01 pm

I see what you mean as far as signature, but it looks too close to Olga to form. Especially in December!
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#7 Postby Squarethecircle » Wed Dec 12, 2007 12:26 pm

Maybe if it had an associated low, and was further north, and, you know, it wasn't DECEMBER.
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Coredesat

#8 Postby Coredesat » Wed Dec 12, 2007 7:25 pm

It's just ITCZ convection being enhanced by an upper-level ridge. For thoughts on what will become of it, see Squarethecircle's post, which sums it up.
Last edited by Coredesat on Wed Dec 12, 2007 11:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#9 Postby Squarethecircle » Wed Dec 12, 2007 7:39 pm

Coredesat wrote:(and add "mostly over land").


The "further north" implies that it would be over water. :wink:
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#10 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Dec 12, 2007 10:30 pm

Besides, I have never heard of a storm originiate out of a tropical wave from the deep tropics in December (since wind shear is so prohibitive down there with the southerly location of the jet stream). Usually, the storms we get this late are from previously extratropical lows that manage to make the transition to tropical or subtropical.
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Re: Re:

#11 Postby Coredesat » Wed Dec 12, 2007 11:01 pm

Squarethecircle wrote:
Coredesat wrote:(and add "mostly over land").


The "further north" implies that it would be over water. :wink:


Whoops, misread. :P
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