Ex 93L

[tailgater]

I just wanted to keep track of the old invest if we can.

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT FRI JUL 04 2008


TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN ALONG 69W S OF 18N
MOVING W 15-20 KT. A VORTICITY MAXIMUM REMAINS LOCATED ALONG THE
AXIS NEAR 15N. DISORGANIZED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE NEAR
THIS ENHANCED AREA OF CYCLONIC TURNING FROM 14N-16N BETWEEN
67W-69W. UPPER WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT.

[cycloneye]

8:05 AM Discussion:

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN ALONG 70W/71W S OF
18N MOVING W 15-20 KT. ADDED A WEAK 1013 MB LOW ALONG THE AXIS
NEAR 15N BASED ON A SMALL SWIRL EVIDENT ON SHORTWAVE IR IMAGES.
THIS LOW MAY BE 1-2 MB LOWER IN PRES CURRENTLY BASED ON
SURROUNDING
BUOY DATA. ASSOCIATED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS HAVE INCREASED
THIS MORNING...NE OF THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL SWIRL DUE TO S-SW
SHEAR...FROM 15N-17N BETWEEN 66W-70W.

[tailgater]

Thank goodness for ole king TUTT.
http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/GOES1 ... a6tQZ5.jpg

[Ed Mahmoud]

Joe Bastardi still thinks this might try to develop in the Western Gulf.

No model support, so I'm far from convinced.

[NDG]

Still has a little swirl to it, at least a strong trough with evident wind shift behind its passage currently.

[KWT]

You can clearly see the way the shear has pushed all the convection to the east of any circulation. IF it ever does find any lower shear I think this one could try and re-develop, its just a waiting game.

[tailgater]

This should be interesting in the next couple reports.
This feature should pass right over the buoy or just to the North.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.p ... t=E&tz=CST

[cycloneye]

8 PM Discussion:

TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN ALONG 71W/72W S OF
19N MOVING W 15-20 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS LOW CLOUD
CYCLONIC TURNING WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS FROM 15N-18N
BETWEEN 67W-75W IN AN AREA MAINLY SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA.

[curtadams]

Not sure it's 93L's remnants, but several models (CMC, UKM, and GFS) are developing an EPac storm W of Nicaragua in about 4 days.