New Player Southeast of Bertha?

[HouTXmetro]

Looks almost as good as Bertha convection wise. Is this our potential next storm? If so can we expect it to follow some type of weakness created by Bertha?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Way to much shear. So no.

15 knots of eastly shear!
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8shr.html

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 061050
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SUN JUL 06 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1015 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 25W/26W SOUTH OF 20N
MOVING WEST 15 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND
POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION FROM 5N TO 12N BETWEEN 23W AND 28W.

THE ITCZ...
STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN ONE CELL WITHIN A 15 NM RADIUS OF 9N14.5W.ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS ARE ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 10N BETWEEN AFRICA AND 30W...AND FROM THE EQUATOR TO 12N BETWEEN 30W AND 53W.

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 061050
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SUN JUL 06 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1015 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 25W/26W SOUTH OF 20N
MOVING WEST 15 KT. BROKEN TO OVERCAST MULTILAYERED CLOUDS AND
POSSIBLE PRECIPITATION FROM 5N TO 12N BETWEEN 23W AND 28W.

THE ITCZ...
STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN ONE CELL WITHIN A 15 NM RADIUS OF 9N14.5W.ISOLATED MODERATE SHOWERS ARE ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 10N BETWEEN AFRICA AND 30W...AND FROM THE EQUATOR TO 12N BETWEEN 30W AND 53W.

[KWT]

This region is quite messy, I don't think its likely that anything will come off it as it heads into the still unfavorable Caribbean Sea.

[CourierPR]

This region is quite messy, I don't think its likely that anything will come off it as it heads into the still unfavorable Caribbean Sea.

The area is southeast of Bertha and is days away from the Caribbean Sea.

[KWT]

Yeah true but the shear there has been unfavorable for a long old time as long as the TUTT remains where it is then the shear will continue. There are hints it may start to lift out of the way and so I don't expect the shear to be as bad as it was for say 93L and we may end up seeing an invest from this if it keeps toghether further west but I equally think shear may just be a little too high further west.

[Decomdoug]

I noticed several more nice systems coming across Africa.

http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/IPPS/html/De ... /index.htm