Isn't That A Tropical Depression Near 33W?

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abajan
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Isn't That A Tropical Depression Near 33W?

#1 Postby abajan » Fri Jul 18, 2008 8:28 pm

There are so many invests that I'm getting confused. What's that near 33W? I know it's very close to the equator but still...
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Chacor
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#2 Postby Chacor » Fri Jul 18, 2008 8:39 pm

Probably just a blowup of ITCZ.

FQNT52 LFPW 182006

A
SECURITE
Weather bulletin for METAREA 2, METEO-FRANCE
Toulouse, Friday 18 July 2008 at 21 UTC.

- Wind speed in BEAUFORT SCALE - Sea : Total significant -
- Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger
than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice
the significant height.

Part 2 : General synopsis, Friday 18 at 12 UTC

Low 998 59N09W, moving east and deepening, expected 994 60N01E by
19/12 UTC, then 996 58N09E by 20/00UTC.
Low 1006 over north of Morocco, slowly moving northwest, expected
1012 36N9W by 19/12 UTC, then 1013 41N09W by 20/00UTC.
High 1031 43N33W with little change. Associated ridge 1020 in Bay
of Biscay, weakening.


ITCZ along 14N16W 04N30W 05N45W. Persistence of heat low 1006 over
Mauritania.
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Re: Isn't That A Tropical Depression Near 33W?

#3 Postby Fego » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:18 pm

Tell me about it!... looks even much better than 94L anytime!
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-avn.html
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#4 Postby HarlequinBoy » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:22 pm

Hmm, that does look pretty good. I'll wait until the morning before I get too interested though.
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Re: Isn't That A Tropical Depression Near 33W?

#5 Postby boca » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:30 pm

It looks like one.This is at 6n and can you get spin that far south with little coriolis effect.
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Re: Isn't That A Tropical Depression Near 33W?

#6 Postby boca » Sat Jul 19, 2008 12:08 am

Abajan good catch. How can this not be an invest? I think we'll have 97L out of this tomorrow.
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#7 Postby HarlequinBoy » Sat Jul 19, 2008 12:16 am

The reds have been pretty persistent.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Isn't That A Tropical Depression Near 33W?

#8 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Sat Jul 19, 2008 12:26 am

It does look better ATM than 94L. Pretty low latitude, it'll have to start gaining latitude or get chewed up by South America in about 3 days.
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#9 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:22 am

Geez, it's only July and we have 2 tc's, a good looking invest, a good looking soon-to-be invest, and a tropical wave over Africa with good curvature. This is gonna be one long Hurricane Season. :eek:
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#10 Postby wxmann_91 » Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:39 am

^ Once this favorable MJO moves out (probably in about a week or two) it's likely going to be doldrums until possibly late August.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

Re: Isn't That A Tropical Depression Near 33W?

#11 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:48 am

You would think after just having one of the most powerful La nina's in god knows how long, that this season could go hand and hand with the seasons of 1998 or 1999. We will see. I don't see this season being unactive.
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Re:

#12 Postby Cyclenall » Sat Jul 19, 2008 2:54 am

wxmann_91 wrote:^ Once this favorable MJO moves out (probably in about a week or two) it's likely going to be doldrums until possibly late August.

That thought was running through my mind a few times until I settled on a feeling that a tropical system will be ongoing during the "slow" period...MJO or no MJO.
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Derek Ortt

#13 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Jul 19, 2008 4:38 am

MJO really does not influence tropical Atlantic that much though
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#14 Postby KWT » Sat Jul 19, 2008 4:41 am

I heard it does make a big difference in the gulf and western Caribbean but outside of that little region it doesn't quite play such a big role.
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