===== ADT-Version 7.2.3 ===== History ====
--------Intensity------- -Tno Values-- ---Tno/CI Rules--- -Temperature-
Time Final/MSLPLat/Vmax Fnl Adj Ini Cnstrnt Wkng Rpd Cntr Mean Scene EstRMW Storm Location Fix MW
Date (UTC) CI MSLP /BiasAdj/(kts) Tno Raw Raw Limit Flag Wkng Region Cloud Type (km) Lat Lon Mthd Score Comments
2008JUL19 094500 1.5 1012.0/ +0.0 / 25.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 NO LIMIT OFF OFF 7.74 -19.07 SHEAR N/A 32.45 79.36 FCST 0.0
2008JUL19 104500 1.6 1011.4/ +0.0 / 26.0 1.6 1.7 2.5 0.2T/hour OFF OFF -17.76 -24.79 CRVBND N/A 32.52 79.31 FCST 0.0
2008JUL19 114500 1.6 1011.4/ +0.0 / 26.0 1.6 1.7 2.7 0.2T/hour OFF OFF -15.96 -29.86 CRVBND N/A 32.58 79.25 FCST 0.0
2008JUL19 124500 1.7 1010.8/ +0.0 / 27.0 1.7 1.9 2.7 0.2T/hour OFF OFF -19.96 -32.32 CRVBND N/A 32.65 79.18 FCST 0.0
2008JUL19 134500 1.8 1010.2/ +0.0 / 28.0 1.8 1.9 2.7 0.2T/hour OFF OFF -39.76 -35.22 CRVBND N/A 32.72 79.11 FCST 0.0
2008JUL19 144500 1.8 1010.2/ +0.0 / 28.0 1.8 2.1 3.4 0.2T/hour OFF OFF -35.66 -43.63 CRVBND N/A 32.58 78.53 FCST 0.0
2008JUL19 154500 1.9 1009.6/ +0.0 / 29.0 1.9 2.1 3.2 0.2T/hour OFF OFF -16.86 -41.03 CRVBND N/A 32.65 78.43 FCST 0.0
Utilizing history file /home/misc/adt/scripts/history/03LMW3.ODT
................................................................
CURRENT ADT Analysis Discussion
2.3 CI# is good , But considering the Raw T# of 3.2 . , And has 0 MSLP.
Note the following anomalies in the Cloud reads, Center Temp : -16.9C Cloud Region Temp : -41.0C ~ Rapid Peak ?
Also Constraint Limits : 0.7T/6hr ~ Not alot holding it back from getting stronger , In the near future.
No Flags are on either
Looks healthy
at Lat: 32:27 N Lon: 78:13 W
UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 7.2.3
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 19 JUL 2008 Time : 154500 UTC
Lat : 32:39:09 N Lon : 78:25:30 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
2.3 /1006.6mb/ 33.0kt ~~ Last reading 1.9 1009.6/ +0.0 / 29.0
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
(3hr avg)
2.3 2.5 3.2
Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : +0.0mb
Center Temp : -16.9C Cloud Region Temp : -41.0C
Scene Type : CURVED BAND with 0.62 ARC in MD GRAY
Maximum CURVED BAND with 0.80 ARC in MD GRAY
at Lat: 32:27:00 N Lon: 78:13:12 W
Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION
Ocean Basin : ATLANTIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : ATLANTIC
Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : 0.7T/6hr
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF
****************************************************
And just in the time it took to type this , The next ADT Comes in
Note the Clouds Difference from the last , Center Temp : -18.7C Cloud Region Temp : -38.4C
Pressure is still coming down
UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 7.2.3
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 19 JUL 2008 Time : 164500 UTC
Lat : 32:43:27 N Lon : 78:19:29 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
2.4 /1005.8mb/ 34.0kt ~~ The Last read 2.3 /1006.6mb/ 33.0kt ~~ Getting stronger
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
(3hr avg)
2.4 2.5 3.0
Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : +0.0mb
Center Temp : -18.7C Cloud Region Temp : -38.4C
Scene Type : CURVED BAND with 0.58 ARC in MD GRAY
Maximum CURVED BAND with 0.72 ARC in MD GRAY
at Lat: 31:43:11 N Lon: 78:07:12 W
Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION
Ocean Basin : ATLANTIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : ATLANTIC
Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : 0.7T/6hr
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF
****************************************************
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