http://typhoon.atmos.colostate.edu/fore ... ep2008.pdf
Bottomline... 17 named storms (90 days), 9 hurricanes (45 days), and 5 Intense Hurricanes (11 days). ACE of 175 and NTC of 190%.
For September, they're expecting 5/4/2
Sept CSU (Klotzbach/Gray) forecast released
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Things better slow down if that want the 5 tropical storm prediction to happen. Already at 2 and its September 2!
"From a large-scale perspective, atmospheric and oceanic conditions were generally favorable for an active month. Sea level pressures were at near-record low levels during the month (Figure 3). Typically, low sea level pressures lead to active Atlantic basin hurricane seasons through an implied increase in instability and weaker-than-normal trades. August sea level pressures across the tropical Atlantic were estimated to be near their lowest values since 1948. The only August with SLP anomalies comparable to August 2008 was August 1955. The 1955 season was one of the most active seasons on record"
Thats interesting.
"From a large-scale perspective, atmospheric and oceanic conditions were generally favorable for an active month. Sea level pressures were at near-record low levels during the month (Figure 3). Typically, low sea level pressures lead to active Atlantic basin hurricane seasons through an implied increase in instability and weaker-than-normal trades. August sea level pressures across the tropical Atlantic were estimated to be near their lowest values since 1948. The only August with SLP anomalies comparable to August 2008 was August 1955. The 1955 season was one of the most active seasons on record"
Thats interesting.
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MGC
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Re: Sept CSU (Klotzbach/Gray) forecast released
Well, we are 1/2 through the hurricane season with 10 named systems. So, I'd say there is a good possibility of achieving the NTC 190%...MGC
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