Disturbed Weather SW of Haiti

[Blown Away]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-avn.html

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Yes I see a clear broad rotation there. Looks stationary,
maybe a WNW drift. I wonder if the front will
pull it northeast.

[boca]

Good pick up. It looks like it is moving WNW and that front might not be deep enough to pull that low NE before it hits the Yucatan.

[AtlanticWind]

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation

Is this what the GFs is locking on?

[HURAKAN]

Quite unfavorable in the northern Caribbean at the moment.

[Sanibel]

I think that is just an eddy between synoptic features.

[tailgater]

Clear broad rotation near 17N/85W and is not former TD16.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-avn.html

I believe what yall are seeing is an upper low, there is a broad low level spin but it's more over C A. If you click on the upper level wins you'll see what i mean.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html

[Blown Away]

[/quote]I believe what yall are seeing is an upper low, there is a broad low level spin but it's more over C A. If you click on the upper level wins you'll see what i mean.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html[/quote]

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Now a 1010 mb Labeled Low, interesting,
Front extends into Mexico/Texas, so it may
be able to pull it northeast- OH NEVERMIND, GFS shows
the first Front missing it, second front
pulls it northeast to south florida- Days 6-7 hits south florida as a tropical storm.
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation

[HURAKAN]

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT OCT 18 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM OMAR...LOCATED ABOUT 775 MILES EAST OF BERMUDA.

THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN
REMAINS CENTERED INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA. THIS SYSTEM IS NEARLY
STATIONARY AND WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS FROM
NORTHERN COSTA RICA TO SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

A LARGE AND DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED
WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS CENTERED ABOUT 650 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE TOWARD THE
WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT.

A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN SEA BETWEEN JAMAICA AND HAITI. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA

[TheEuropean]

A SMALL AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN SEA BETWEEN JAMAICA AND HAITI. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.

Sorry, but that's another system, not the spin above.

[Sanibel]

This disturbance is more meaningful because, even with an unfavorable overhead, it is headed towards the most favorable SST waters left in the 2008 season (if it heads west).


This Jamaica disturbance should have a separate thread.