Area of Low Pressure East of the Leeward Islands

[HURAKAN]

669
ABNT20 KNHC 091749
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST SUN NOV 9 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON WEAKENING
TROPICAL STORM PALOMA...LOCATED INLAND NEAR CAMAGUEY CUBA.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT AS
THIS SYSTEM DRIFTS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER PASCH/LANDSEA

[CaneMaster]

The area southeast of florida in the above image looks a little peculiar, maybe watchable......

This area looks as if it could see some more development if it stays in lower lat. maybe sits in the warmer area of the carib... This may just see something in the next 72 hours.

[JonathanBelles]

The area southeast of florida in the above image looks a little peculiar, maybe watchable......

This area looks as if it could see some more development if it stays in lower lat. maybe sits in the warmer area of the carib... This may just see something in the next 72 hours.

I'm sorry, but I had to laugh at this. That area SE of FL is a shear drunken TD Paloma.

[cycloneye]

ABNT20 KNHC 092347
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 PM EST SUN NOV 9 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON
RECENTLY-DOWNGRADED TROPICAL DEPRESSION PALOMA...LOCATED INLAND
NEAR CAMAGUEY CUBA.

AN NEARLY STATIONARY AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 700 MILES
EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT AS THIS SYSTEM DRIFTS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER STEWART

[CaneMaster]

Let me clarify this post a little bit, I am rather quick at doing them so I really don't take the time to look at them after I'm done.....
"The area southeast of florida in the above image looks a little peculiar, maybe watchable......"
Was a joke and was separate from the rest of the post the rest of the post was regarding the area in mentiion.......

The area southeast of florida in the above image looks a little peculiar, maybe watchable......


This area looks as if it could see some more development if it stays in lower lat. maybe sits in the warmer area of the carib... This may just see something in the next 72 hours.

I'm sorry, but I had to laugh at this. That area SE of FL is a shear drunken TD Paloma.

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EST MON NOV 10 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON
DISSIPATED TROPICAL DEPRESSION PALOMA...LOCATED ALONG THE
NORTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA ABOUT 50 MILES NORTH OF CAMAGUEY...
AND ABOUT 110 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF ANDROS ISLAND.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES EAST OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE UNFAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER STEWART

[Gustywind]

Let's see what happens but given the upper levels winds i'm a little doubtfull about something decent, but we should wait and see as usual...
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html
Shear is abating a bit with only small pockets in vicinity of the islands....
Whereas of topic we're this morning here 20°celsius at our weather station Raizet Guadeloupe, i'm noise was ...

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
700 AM EST MON NOV 10 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
PALOMA...IS CENTERED ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA ABOUT 60 MILES
NORTH OF CAMAGUEY. RE-DEVELOPENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED
DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER FRANKLIN

Gone from the TWO.

[Sanibel]

Good convection:

[wxman57]

Good convection:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/avn-l.jpg

Intense shear = no development

[Gustywind]

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... Tagant.jpg
Very good convection wxman57 with intense shear on a decreasing TREND http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html

[Squarethecircle]

To be fair, I really don't think it has that kind of time.

[HURAKAN]

Nothing is likely to form but a lot of convection being produced.

[wxman57]

Westerly winds aloft at 50-70 kts across the area east of the Caribbean through early next week. Not exactly conducive to development.

[Gustywind]

:uarrow: To be fair, I really don't think it has that kind of time.

Absolutely, but i will not say never never say never

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 150536
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
105 AM EST SAT NOV 15 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 0515 UTC.

...THE ITCZ...
10N12W 6N20W 7N40W 10N55W 9N61W. A SURFACE TROUGH/POSSIBLE
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 56W/57W FROM 7N TO 13N...MOVING WEST
10 TO 15 KT. ANY PRECIPITATION CLOSE TO THE WAVE IS MIXED IN
WITH ITCZ PRECIPITATION. SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS TO ISOLATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 180 TO 240 NM ON EITHER SIDE
OF 2N1W 2N9W 7N19W 6N25W...AND ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 12N BETWEEN
40W AND 60W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 4N TO 8N BETWEEN 27W AND 34W. SCATTERED
STRONG SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 8N TO 11N BETWEEN
40W AND 43W.