JB says STS this week Northeast of Puerto Rico.

[HURAKAN]

[AnnularCane]

Too bad there are no Tropical Weather Outlooks in the off-season (should they eliminate the off-season?), since they would be helpful...

Does this mean we won't be seeing those yellow/orange/red shaded areas?

[Ed Mahmoud]

Color satellite loop


Lotsa disturbed weather, but lots of what appears to be cold air strato-cu, and nothing that looks like a TC or sub-TC.

[cycloneye]

If all pans out as forecast,PR,VI and Northern Leewards may have a good soaker.

From the San Juan NWS:

DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED PASSING SHOWERS CONTINUE TO
MOVE ON SHORE MAINLY AFFECTING THE EAST AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
PUERTO RICO. THIS WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. THEREFORE EXPECT THE WEATHER ACTIVITY TO OCCUR ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE PUERTO RICO...MAINLY IN THE OVERNIGHT AND
MORNING HOURS.

ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AN UPPER TROUGH WILL BECOME AMPLIFIED ACROSS
THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN AND THIS ALONG WITH THE ASSOCIATED LOW TO MID
PRESSURE TROUGH WILL DIG SOUTHEAST INCREASING THE CHANCES OF
SHOWERS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. THE NAM AND THE GFS
ALSO SUGGEST A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION TO DEVELOP OVER THE ATLANTIC
WATERS NORTHEAST OF PUERTO RICO ON WEDNESDAY. THE CENTER OF THIS
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE WEST SOUTHWEST AND APPROACH THE LOCAL
FORECAST AREA LATE THURSDAY. DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL BE
AVAILABLE ON THURSDAY NIGHT TO IGNITE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACTIVITY ACROSS THE LOCAL FORECAST AREA.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php ... &version=0

[CrazyC83]

Too bad there are no Tropical Weather Outlooks in the off-season (should they eliminate the off-season?), since they would be helpful...

Does this mean we won't be seeing those yellow/orange/red shaded areas?

I don't think so.

[gatorcane]

It will be interesting to monitor this area over the next week or so. Lots of low and mid-level ridging is going to sit over the GOM, Florida, and Caribbean for a while. Winter has taken a leave of absence across this area for the forseeable future (i.e. the westerlies are being pushed way north for this time of year for the next week at least possibly for the rest of this year). Nonetheless, I expect this area to fizzle out though over the next 3-4 days as the GFS 12Z is showing.

Latest:

[HURAKAN]

Taking shape.

[tolakram]

Anyone know what's wrong with the visible sat images? Apparently I can't read the maintenance notices very well, I could not find any reason for the outage.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/SATS/messages.html

[Ed Mahmoud]

Visible is working again now, although if one loops it, the first few frames are black.


Also looks like the satellite has been repositioned, I guess to better monitor Winter storms approaching SoCal. Or maybe not, the dark on the side seems intermittent.

[wxman57]

So much for this "storm".

[fci]

Wow, it took ALL season for JB to be wrong the first time.

[AJC3]

Visible is working again now, although if one loops it, the first few frames are black.


Also looks like the satellite has been repositioned, I guess to better monitor Winter storms approaching SoCal. Or maybe not, the dark on the side seems intermittent.

Back on 14 DEC, GOES-12 (which is positioned at 75W) developed a thruster leak. The SOCC switched the data feed over to GOES-13 (which is positioned at 105W) the following day. The thruster leak has since stopped, but the satellite is being monitored for the next several days before they consider switching back to GOES-12.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/SATS/bulletins.html

Go down to the message that says "GOES-12 OUTAGE" and work your way up through the updates.

The latest...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/SATS/SPBULL/ ... 834.01.txt

*UPDATE #9 12/19/2008 @ 1825 UTC*


For the thruster problems on GOES-12,SOCC (Satellite Operations Control Center) engineers continue to monitor GOES-12 for its performance. TENTATIVE PLANS for GOES-12 recovery are to take place no earlier than the week of January 5, 2009.

Details are yet to be finalized, but there will likely be a day of INR (Image Navigation and Registration) recovery where data from GOES-12 may be poorly navigated, and as able, users may desire to repoint their antenna to GOES-13 during that time period. Products from ESPC (including for AWIPS production) may stay on GOES-13 for that time period until imagery from GOES-12 is deemed stable for product generation.

There are no current plans to move GOES-13 from its current location at 105 West.

In the meantime, ESPC Operations will be running in the current configuration until further notice. GOES-13 GVAR data will continue to be sent out to users via both GOES-12 and GOES-13. Broadcast services of LRIT, EMWIN, and DCS are being routed through GOES-12. GOES-East direct broadcast users may want to adjust their antennas to obtain data directly from GOES-13.

Notes:
GOES-13 is located at 105 degrees West and has WMO Satellite ID #257
GOES-12 is located at 75 degrees West and has WMO Satellite ID #256