00 UTC tropical model run:Dramatic change of models

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ameriwx2003
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00 UTC tropical model run:Dramatic change of models

#1 Postby ameriwx2003 » Wed Jul 30, 2003 8:34 pm

Interesting in that the turn to Sea at least in this run isn't there. Though it seems that a slowdown happens in the longer term:):) Could be several days of talking about this system:)
http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/03073101
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cycloneye
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 30, 2003 8:44 pm

Wow what a change that the tropical models are more west now so now the islands are on the gun. :o :o :o
Last edited by cycloneye on Wed Jul 30, 2003 8:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#3 Postby wow » Wed Jul 30, 2003 8:45 pm

according to the ships model, we shall have a TS on our hands in 24 hrs.
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#4 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 30, 2003 9:33 pm

So the models were wrong in early runs and now they say NO FISH and now the islands will be threatened unless something dramatic happens and it goes away to the north.
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chadtm80

#5 Postby chadtm80 » Wed Jul 30, 2003 9:37 pm

Yep.. WREL model map shows the new plots as well.. Interesting indeed.. Keep an eye on this one for sure
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ColdFront77

#6 Postby ColdFront77 » Wed Jul 30, 2003 9:46 pm

The last portion of the forecast model lines weren't indicating a "fish storm" -- they were showing a curve, not necessarily a "fish," anyway.
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Anonymous

#7 Postby Anonymous » Wed Jul 30, 2003 10:54 pm

The models obviously didn't have a good handle on the low during the first few runs. They were showing a more northerly track beginning almost immediately....which is impossible since its at 9N and its caught in the strong low level easterly flow.
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