EPAC Disturbance

[HURAKAN]

628
ABPZ20 KNHC 032344
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT FRI JUL 3 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO
MEXICO HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG

[HURAKAN]

[KWT]

That may well be the area that some of the models have been developing recently so could do with some watching!

[HURAKAN]

That may well be the area that some of the models have been developing recently so could do with some watching!

It looks healthy but in the loop it's just a flare up. Lets see if it lasts and development can begin.

Loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/epac/flash-vis.html

[HURAKAN]

798
ABPZ20 KNHC 041813
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SAT JUL 4 2009

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 325 MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO HAS
BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[HURAKAN]

Some rotation is now visible in the clouds. Nothing at the surface yet.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Some Northerly/Easterly shear, which gets lower just to the Northwest. I'd say this is probably a go...

[cycloneye]

I thought this was going to be a invest first than the North Atlantic thing.

[cycloneye]

This system has been tagged as invest 94E.Go to Active Storms forum for the details and to have comments about the system.Thread is locked.

Link to 94E thread. viewtopic.php?f=62&p=1890111#p1890111