Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary

[HURAKAN]

MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0800 AM EDT WED JUL 01 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

NO TROPICAL CYCLONES WERE OBSERVED DURING THE MONTH OF JUNE.
HOWEVER...A SHORT-LIVED TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMED DURING LATE MAY.
ON AVERAGE...A TROPICAL STORM IS NOTED IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN IN
JUNE ABOUT ONCE EVERY OTHER YEAR.

REPORTS ON INDIVIDUAL CYCLONES...WHEN COMPLETED...ARE AT THE WEB
SITE OF THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...USE LOWER CASE LETTERS...
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/2009ATLAN.SHTML

SUMMARY TABLE

NAME DATES MAX WIND (MPH) DEATHS
--------------------------------------------------------------
TD ONE 28-29 MAY 35 0

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

[Ed Mahmoud]

Funny feeling July will be that short as well.


Should get at least one in August.

Just reading the JB column, his theory, and as an amateur I have no reason to argue, is things won't get going until the season peak, August-September-October, and most storms will be from systems either originating in the Westerlies or weak tropical waves that become entrained in systems embedded in the Westerlies, and because they form close to the US mainland (especially the East Coast), one or more could cause trouble.

[brunota2003]

The peak has the most number of storms out of all the season? no way...I thought the off season did O.o But I do agree with most being home-brewed.

[Lurker]

The peak has the most number of storms out of all the season? no way...I thought the off season did O.o But I do agree with most being home-brewed.

[cycloneye]

Best Track upgrades invest 90L to 35 kts.I think they will upgrade at post analysis to a unnamed tropical storm.

AL, 90, 2009052312, , BEST, 0, 298N, 883W, 35, 1003, LO

Date=5/23/09
Time=12Z / 8 AM EDT
Position=Latitud,29.8N - Longitud,88.3W
Winds=35 kts
Pressure=1003 mbs
Disturbance=Low Pressure

Best Track for Invest 90L

[senorpepr]

Best Track upgrades invest 90L to 35 kts.I think they will upgrade at post analysis to a unnamed tropical storm.

AL, 90, 2009052312, , BEST, 0, 298N, 883W, 35, 1003, LO

Date=5/23/09
Time=12Z / 8 AM EDT
Position=Latitud,29.8N - Longitud,88.3W
Winds=35 kts
Pressure=1003 mbs
Disturbance=Low Pressure

Best Track for Invest 90L

If my memory serves me correctly (and I'm relatively confident it is in this case), NHC had the system at 35kt while it was active. I'm not completely convinced it will be upgraded... although I've been wrong before.

[CrazyC83]

Best Track upgrades invest 90L to 35 kts.I think they will upgrade at post analysis to a unnamed tropical storm.

AL, 90, 2009052312, , BEST, 0, 298N, 883W, 35, 1003, LO

Date=5/23/09
Time=12Z / 8 AM EDT
Position=Latitud,29.8N - Longitud,88.3W
Winds=35 kts
Pressure=1003 mbs
Disturbance=Low Pressure

Best Track for Invest 90L

If my memory serves me correctly (and I'm relatively confident it is in this case), NHC had the system at 35kt while it was active. I'm not completely convinced it will be upgraded... although I've been wrong before.

I have that feeling too that it was a tropical storm.

Another potential upgrade could be that Azores storm in early June.

[CrazyC83]

Funny feeling July will be that short as well.


Should get at least one in August.

Just reading the JB column, his theory, and as an amateur I have no reason to argue, is things won't get going until the season peak, August-September-October, and most storms will be from systems either originating in the Westerlies or weak tropical waves that become entrained in systems embedded in the Westerlies, and because they form close to the US mainland (especially the East Coast), one or more could cause trouble.

We were all saying the same thing in 2004. It took until July 31 to get anything, then boom!

[HURAKAN]

010
ABNT30 KNHC 011154
TWSAT
MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT TUE SEP 01 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

FOUR TROPICAL STORMS FORMED IN AUGUST...ONE OF WHICH REACHED MAJOR
HURRICANE STATUS. THE LONG-TERM AVERAGE FOR AUGUST IS ABOUT 4
TROPICAL STORMS...2 HURRICANES...AND 1 MAJOR HURRICANE. IN TERMS OF
ACCUMULATED CYCLONE ENERGY...ACE...WHICH MEASURES THE COMBINED
STRENGTH AND DURATION OF TROPICAL STORMS AND HURRICANES...AUGUST
WAS ABOUT 30 PERCENT ABOVE THE LONG-TERM MEAN...PRIMARILY DUE TO
HURRICANE BILL.

REPORTS ON INDIVIDUAL CYCLONES...WHEN COMPLETED...ARE AT THE WEB
SITE OF THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...USE LOWER CASE LETTERS...
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/2009ATLAN.SHTML

SUMMARY TABLE

NAME DATES MAX WIND (MPH) DEATHS
--------------------------------------------------------------
TD ONE 28-29 MAY 35 0
TS ANA 11-17 AUG 40 0
MH BILL 15-24 AUG 135 2
TS CLAUDETTE 16-18 AUG 50 0
TS DANNY 26-29 AUG 60 1

$$
HURRICANE SPECIALISTS UNIT

[Hurricanehink]

000
ABNT30 KNHC 011138
TWSAT
MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU OCT 01 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SEPTEMBER WAS A RATHER QUIET MONTH WITH ONLY TWO NAMED STORMS...ONE
OF WHICH REACHED MAJOR HURRICANE INTENSITY. THE LONG-TERM
AVERAGE FOR SEPTEMBER IS FOUR NAMED STORMS...TWO HURRICANES...
AND ONE MAJOR HURRICANE. IN TERMS OF ACCUMULATED CYCLONE ENERGY...
ACE...WHICH MEASURES THE COMBINED STRENGTH AND DURATION OF TROPICAL
STORMS AND HURRICANES...SEPTEMBER ACE WAS ONLY 22 PERCENT OF THE
LONG-TERM MEAN...THE LOWEST VALUE SINCE 1994...AND THE SIXTH LOWEST
SINCE 1944.

REPORTS ON INDIVIDUAL CYCLONES...WHEN COMPLETED...ARE AT THE WEB
SITE OF THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER...USE LOWER CASE LETTERS...
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/2009ATLAN.SHTML

SUMMARY TABLE

NAME DATES MAX WIND (MPH)
-------------------------------------------------
TD ONE 28-29 MAY 35
TS ANA 11-16 AUG 40
MH BILL 15-24 AUG 135
TS CLAUDETTE 16-18 AUG 50
TS DANNY 26-29 AUG 60
TS ERIKA 1- 4 SEP 60
MH FRED 7-12 SEP 120
TD EIGHT 25-26 SEP 35

$$
HURRICANE SPECIALISTS UNIT

[Derek Ortt]

Best Track upgrades invest 90L to 35 kts.I think they will upgrade at post analysis to a unnamed tropical storm.

AL, 90, 2009052312, , BEST, 0, 298N, 883W, 35, 1003, LO

Date=5/23/09
Time=12Z / 8 AM EDT
Position=Latitud,29.8N - Longitud,88.3W
Winds=35 kts
Pressure=1003 mbs
Disturbance=Low Pressure

Best Track for Invest 90L

If my memory serves me correctly (and I'm relatively confident it is in this case), NHC had the system at 35kt while it was active. I'm not completely convinced it will be upgraded... although I've been wrong before.

I believe that May invest will NOT be upgraded, though there was discussion regarding it