
I always was too and still am. I'll take a week out ECMWF over any other model I have access to. We all know it's left biased, and yeah, you and I live on the left-side of the basin. But there are plenty of examples of everything from VIPR to NAM, to UKMET, to NOGAPS to the CMC to the GFS, to Clipper hitting something that no other model got. It's just that the synoptics progged by the ECMWF in the mid-range seem to be superior. I don't have the statistical data to back that up, but it's obviously an invaluable tool. But you guys were all over it to the point of picking on some of the mad South Florida residents who rightly claimed that this storm was theirs. While I will never understand why weather nerds battle it out in the wobble, model and statecasting wars, or why people bring bravado and machismo into being "right" when 99% of the time they're just lucky, it was pretty obvious you guys were playing it up. Now it was clear to me that you were just goofing around, but obviously some in FL were getting aggravated by the gloating style of the posts. It was kind of funny at times, to me, but some people take their state getting the landfall seriously. I think the worst battles are TX v. FL and NC v. FL. JMO
Anyway, all models lose with Bonnie.
And so I don't get *****ed at for posting this in the discussion thread, I agree with the poster above who said it's coming back into the water. I don't expect it to do much of anything, but I do expect that we'll be able to track the remnant surface low/swirl throughout the day tomorrow. Maybe some of us on the NGC get lucky and some weather accompanies it inland (talking some tropical showers or a feeder band or two). Regardlessly, I don't think most of us are going to have to wait until next year for tropical threats which should be a'plenty in the next 12 weeks or so. They're coming - probably some real big threats too. Too many people are hemming and hawing about how this isn't going to be a high-number season - again, so they can be right. Yippee. You were right. You don't win anything. You don't gain credibility if you guessed at something that was based on pure luck. Sure, I posted last night that I thought the system would come in in Miami-Dade or Broward and would exit south of Charlotte County. And yeah, I was right. But it only sustains the credibility that comes with being both right and wrong and trying to base what I post on many years of storm watching. I don't claim to be the greatest - far from it. But I'd like to think that the site is far better if I'm here than if I'm not. Maybe if other posters used that same rationale - what are they bringing to the table (humor? analysis? experience? pictures or videos? quality questions?), the site wouldn't have a bunch of wormy people with pocket protectors, plaid shirts and caved in chests fighting over who is the biggest weather weenie of them all!
