Heads up GOMERS bouy reports NNW winds and falling pressures

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cycloneye
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Heads up GOMERS bouy reports NNW winds and falling pressures

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 30, 2003 6:49 am

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.p ... tion=42002

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/GMEX/IR4

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... tml/20.jpg

And convection has increased in the area but is there a LLC forming there is the question.Recon is programed to fly later today but if nessesary however will they go eventually?.And the other question is if we are going to see TD#11 form today?

The answers to those questions will come later today so gomers heads up.
Last edited by cycloneye on Sat Aug 30, 2003 7:14 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby Anonymous » Sat Aug 30, 2003 6:56 am

it looks like it is getting some arch to it to me. A few hours ago I looked at it and it looked really wimpy. It is definately looking better again. Luis when will the latest model tracks that you usually put out come in?
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 30, 2003 7:01 am

Thunder those tropical models come out between 8:30 and 9:00 AM EDT in the afternoon between 2:30 PM EDT and 3:00 PM EDT in the evening between 8:30 PM and 9:00 PM EDT and overnight at 2:30 to 3:00 AM EDT so 4 times they come out every 24 hours.
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#4 Postby Anonymous » Sat Aug 30, 2003 7:04 am

Thanks Luis! :D
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wxman57
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Weak Low

#5 Postby wxman57 » Sat Aug 30, 2003 7:35 am

Looks like a weak surface low near 24N/93W. But I'm not too sure it'll have a chance to develop much. It's on the east side of a fairly strong upper-level low that's about 150 miles east of Brownsville. There's a tremendous amount of southerly wind shear across the low/wave axis. With it moving northwest at 10-15 mph it'll be into the Texas coast before noon on Sunday. And that shear is forecast to follow it westward today, so upper-level winds are not at all conducive to development.

At best, this may become TD 11 or a VERY weak TS before lanfall. It looks more and more like TS Allison of 2001. Nothing at all left of the low - no winds or rain, and 25-30 kt southeast wind east of the low. Allison produced no wind at all over land, but a heck of a lot of rain. This system may do the same. Hopefully not 35" of rain on downtown Houston this time.
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#6 Postby Guest » Sat Aug 30, 2003 7:40 am

Another Allison would be worse then have a strong TS hit. Keep us posted wxman57 - I know you are a busy man today.

Patricia
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