Eye appearing on satellite imaginary

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WXBUFFJIM
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Eye appearing on satellite imaginary

#1 Postby WXBUFFJIM » Fri Aug 29, 2003 10:06 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg
shows the current satellite image of Fabian. The middle of that huge convective blob shows what looks like the real eye now forming on satellite imaginary. Further strengthening is forecast overnight through Saturday and beyond as light winds aloft and warm sea surface temps favor further intensification. We could also have our first major hurricane in the atlantic this season ladies and gentlemen, all courtesy of Fabian. Keep an eye on this along the US east coast during the latter part of next week, particularly from South carolina northward into Virginia!!! However the entire east coast including Bermuda should keep watching this situation as well. Lots going on, stay tuned!

Jim
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rainstorm

#2 Postby rainstorm » Fri Aug 29, 2003 10:09 pm

jim cantore guaranteed a major cane
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#3 Postby Stormsfury » Fri Aug 29, 2003 10:18 pm

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Yes RS

#4 Postby WXBUFFJIM » Fri Aug 29, 2003 10:26 pm

A major cane can't be ruled out at this point. The environment surrounding this is very favorable for further strengthening. By early next week if not sooner, we could have a major hurricane ladies and gentlemen, the first of the 2003 atlantic hurricane season.

I ain't betting against it either.

Jim
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Hmm..

#5 Postby SacrydDreamz » Sat Aug 30, 2003 12:22 am

Looks like Fabian may run into a little SW sheer in 36 hours or so, limiting strengthening by that point a bit. Looks fairly healthy at this point, and 105kts can't be ruled out in 48 hrs, though 90-95kts seems more reasonable given expected sheer. I obviously could be wrong though!
Last edited by SacrydDreamz on Sat Aug 30, 2003 12:28 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#6 Postby PTrackerLA » Sat Aug 30, 2003 12:24 am

This one is definately starting to crank, I have to agree with Cantore on this one.
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#7 Postby ChaserUK » Sat Aug 30, 2003 7:23 am

Is it possible at this point to hazard strike possibilities somewhere along the coast of the USA?? Or is this that too far away and unreliable?
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Fabian

#8 Postby wxman57 » Sat Aug 30, 2003 7:38 am

Most likely, Fabian will pass safely north of the Caribbean then turn north and out to sea, staying well east of the U.S. coast. However, there's a slight chance that high pressure may build north of Fabian by day 6-7 and initiate a WNW-NW movement toward the mid Atlantic coast. Looking more like Florida is out of danger, though.
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#9 Postby Colin » Sat Aug 30, 2003 7:39 am

I really think this is the real thing...ohh boy...Hope I don't feel the affects of this thing! :o
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#10 Postby Tip » Sat Aug 30, 2003 7:43 am

Chaser UK, probably at least two days out yet to get a good sense of any possible strike potential. One thing you can watch for is if the storm hits the 60W 20N box. If it does, the storm has a much better chance of land fall somewhere. Right now It looks like Fabian may just nick the box as it goes by.
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#11 Postby ChaserUK » Sat Aug 30, 2003 7:48 am

Tip - thanks for that - I am not all the clued up on hurrican forecasting etc so that is a handy piece of information!
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Re: Hmm..

#12 Postby SacrydDreamz » Sat Aug 30, 2003 10:42 am

SacrydDreamz wrote:I obviously could be wrong though!


Yep.. :oops: :)
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